Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FNUS74 KBMX 281704
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RABBITTOWN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1204 PM CDT THU JUL 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0827 CDT ON JULY 28.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

GENERALLY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOW/MID 90S.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 10 MPH AND GENERALLY FROM THE
SOUTHWEST/WEST THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
TODAY WHEN SOUTHWESTERLY SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE IN THE 10-15 MPH
RANGE. SINCE SURFACE DEW POINTS ARE SO HIGH, CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
THRESHOLDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE MET, WITH NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS
ANTICIPATED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800-7200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 88.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............73     78     82     85     87     85
RH..............93     79     70     63     60     62
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 7   SW 9   SW 10  SW 9   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5      15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2300   3200   4700   6300   7200   6800
TRANSPORT WIND..230/16 240/18 240/21 240/24 240/25 250/25
DISPERSION......11     25     62     81     89     87
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     30     50     50

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....80 DECREASING TO 3.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............83     78     75     74     73     72
RH..............67     77     86     88     93     95
20 FT WIND......W 8    W 7    W 5    W 2    W 2    SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....6000   4100   2200   1300   900    700
TRANSPORT WIND..260/25 260/21 270/14 280/9  280/6  260/5
DISPERSION......84     58     28     4      3      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     20     20     20     20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900-7700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 21 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 13 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 90 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 57 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 51.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............72     75     80     83     86     87
RH..............94     86     75     70     64     60
20 FT WIND......SW 2   W 3    W 6    W 7    W 7    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1800   4600   6500   7500   7500
TRANSPORT WIND..250/3  250/9  260/20 270/20 270/16 260/14
DISPERSION......2      6      13     90     57     49
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     40     40     40     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...AARON
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT MAGARGEE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160728.RABBI.01/BMX



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