Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 302201
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR MANCHESTER FELL RX...BOULDER FIRE RESCUE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
356 PM MDT MON MAR 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MARCH 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...IT WILL REMAIN DRY ON TUESDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT SOUTHEAST IN THE MORNING AND THEN BECOME SOUTHWEST
8 TO 15 MPH BY 1300.  HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL DROP DOWN TO 10% BY MID AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BECOME GOOD BY 1200.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........48%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11900 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1100-1600 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........11%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1300 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 14100-15100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........45%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......14200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 10000 FT AGL
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN 5900 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    1200-1700 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN BELOW 1000
                    FT AGL UNTIL 0400...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY(60-65%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........18%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 14400-15400 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR MANCHESTER FELL RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

03/30-15 22  2  0 73 12   W  9 14 4 1 WNW 30 12982   W 14153455     E
03/30-16 22  2  0 74 11 WNW  9  9 4 1 WNW 32 12605 WNW 15158918     E
03/30-17 24  2  0 73 11 WNW  8  8 4 1 WNW 33 12228 WNW 15164382     E
03/30-18 25  1  0 71 12  NW  7  7 4 1 WNW 35 11851 WNW 16169845     E
03/30-19 25  1  0 66 15 WNW  7  7 4 1 WNW 32  8444 WNW 15118326    V
03/30-20 25  1  0 61 18   W  6  6 5 1  NW 30  5038   W 13 66806   G
03/30-21 23  1  0 56 22   W  6  6 5 1  NW 26  1632   W 10 15286 P
03/30-22 23  1  0 53 26   W  6  6 5 1  NW 25  1478   W 10 13825 P
03/30-23 23  1  0 51 28   W  6  6 4 1  NW 24  1325   W 10 12365 P
03/31-00 17  1  0 50 30   W  6  6 4 1 WNW 22  1171   W 10 10905 P
03/31-01 17  1  0 49 33   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 23  1176   W 10 10765 P
03/31-02 17  1  0 47 38   W  8  8 4 1 WNW 24  1181   W 10 10625 P
03/31-03 19  1  0 45 43   W  8  8 4 1 WNW 25  1186   W 10 10484 P
03/31-04 19  1  0 44 44   W  8  8 4 1 WNW 25  1165   W  9  9569 P
03/31-05 19  1  0 42 47 WSW  7  7 5 1 WNW 25  1145   W  9  8653 P
03/31-06 19  0  0 42 47 WSW  6  6 5 1 WNW 26  1124   W  8  7738 P
03/31-07 19  0  0 44 48 WSW  5  5 5 1 WNW 24  1187   W  7  7078 P
03/31-08 19  0  0 47 48  SW  3  3 4 1 WNW 22  1250 WSW  6  6418 P
03/31-09 19  0  0 51 44 SSW  3  3 4 1 WNW 20  1313  SW  5  5758 P
03/31-10 19  0  0 57 34 SSW  3  3 4 1 WNW 17  4019 WSW  7 32956 P
03/31-11 19  0  0 63 24   S  3  3 4 1 WNW 15  6724   W  9 60155   G
03/31-12 29  1  0 69 17   S  5  5 4 1 WNW 13  9430   W 10 87353   G
03/31-13 29  1  0 73 14   S  6  6 4 1 WNW 16 11464   W 12117655    V
03/31-14 29  1  0 76 12 SSW  8  8 5 1   W 21 13498   W 13147957    V
03/31-15 29  1  0 78 11  SW  9 14 5 1   W 25 15532 WSW 13178259     E
03/31-16 29  1  0 79 11  SW  9 14 5 1   W 25 15078 WSW 14179301     E
03/31-17 29  1  0 78 12  SW  9 14 5 1   W 26 14623 WSW 14180343     E
03/31-18 32  4  1 76 14 WSW  9 14 5 1   W 26 14169 WSW 15181386     E
03/31-19 32  3  1 71 18 WSW  9 14 5 1   W 24 10022 WSW 14126125    V
03/31-20 32  2  0 65 23 WSW  9 14 5 1 WSW 23  5874 WSW 12 70864   G
03/31-21 32  2  0 60 31 WSW  9 14 5 1 WSW 22  1727  SW 10 15604 P
03/31-22 32  1  0 57 34 WSW  9 14 5 1 WSW 22  1445 WSW 10 13025 P
03/31-23 32  1  0 55 36 WSW  9 14 5 1 WSW 22  1163 WSW 10 10446 P
04/01-00 24  0  0 54 37 WSW  9 14 5 1 WSW 21   880 WSW 10  7867 P
04/01-01 33  0  0 53 39 WSW  9 14 5 1 WSW 23   893 WSW 10  7713 P
04/01-02 33  0  0 52 41 WSW  9 14 4 1 WSW 25   905 WSW  9  7558 P
04/01-03 33  0  0 51 43 WSW  9 14 4 1 WSW 28   917 WSW  9  7403 P
04/01-04 33  0  0 49 44 WSW  8  8 4 1 WSW 24   979 WSW 10  8514 P
04/01-05 33  0  0 47 45 WSW  8  8 3 1   W 20  1042 WSW 10  9624 P
04/01-06 44  0  0 47 44 WSW  7  7 3 1   W 16  1104 WSW 12 10735 P
04/01-07 44  0  0 49 44 WSW  6  6 3 1   W 15  1657   W 12 16379 P
04/01-08 44  0  0 53 42 WSW  6  6 3 1 WSW 15  2209   W 12 22023 P
04/01-09 44  2  0 58 37   W  6  6 3 1 WSW 14  2762   W 12 27667 P
04/01-10 44  2  0 63 30   W  6  6 3 1 WSW 24  5724   W 14 78187   G
04/01-11 44  2  0 66 25   W  7  7 3 1   W 35  8687   W 16128707    V
04/01-12 61  5  1 69 21   W  7  7 3 1   W 46 11650   W 17179227     E
04/01-13 61  5  1 71 19   W  7  7 3 1   W 43 13029 WSW 18202398     E
04/01-14 61  5  1 72 18   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 39 14407 WSW 18225569     E
04/01-15 61 10  2 72 19   W  7  7 4 2 WSW 37 15786 WSW 18248740     E
04/01-16 61 10  2 71 19 WNW  8  8 4 2 WSW 37 14978 WSW 17231021     E
04/01-17 61 10  2 70 20  NW  9  9 4 2 WSW 38 14170   W 17213302     E
04/01-18 82 29  8 67 22  NW  9 14 4 2 WSW 38 13362   W 17195582     E
04/01-19 82 29  8 63 27 NNW  9  9 4 2 WSW 39  9988 WNW 14139213    V
04/01-20 82 29  8 59 34   N  8  8 3 2 WSW 39  6613 NNE 12 82843   G
04/01-21 82 29  8 54 43 NNE  7  7 3 2 WSW 40  3239  NE  9 26473 P
04/01-22 82 29  8 52 47   N  6  6 3 2 WSW 41  3641  NE  8 23361 P
04/01-23 82 29  8 50 50   N  6  6 2 2 WSW 43  4043  NE  6 20248 P
04/02-00 93 38 16 49 52   N  5  5 2 1 WSW 44  4444  NE  5 17136 P
04/02-01 93 38 16 47 56   N  5  5 2 1 WSW 43  4012 ENE  6 17885 P
04/02-02 93 38 16 45 61  NE  5  5 2 1 WSW 41  3580 ENE  6 18634 P
04/02-03 93 38 16 43 65 ENE  5  5 2 1 WSW 40  3147   E  7 19383 P
04/02-04 93 38 16 41 69 ENE  5  5 2 1 WSW 36  2955   E  8 19822 P
04/02-05 93 38 16 39 72 ENE  6  6 2 1 WSW 31  2764   E  8 20261 P
04/02-06 90 62 41 38 73 ENE  6  6 2 1 WSW 26  2572   E  9 20700 P
04/02-07 90 62 41 38 71 ENE  6  6 2 1 WSW 26  2759   E  8 19204 P
04/02-08 90 62 41 39 68 ENE  6  6 3 1 WSW 26  2946   E  7 17709 P
04/02-09 90 62 41 40 65 ENE  6  6 3 1 WSW 28  3134   E  6 16213 P
04/02-10 90 62 41 41 61 ENE  6  6 3 1 WSW 26  3281   E  7 18558 P
04/02-11 90 62 41 41 60 ENE  7  7 2 1 WSW 25  3429 ENE  7 20903 P
04/02-12 92 62 41 41 60 ENE  7  7 2 1 WSW 25  3577  NE  7 23248 P
04/02-13 92 62 41 41 59 ENE  7  7 2 1 WSW 25  3820  NE  9 30629 P
04/02-14 92 62 41 41 59  NE  7  7 2 1 WSW 25  4064 NNE 10 38009 P
04/02-15 92 62 41 41 59  NE  7  7 2 1 WSW 25  4307 NNE 13 45390  F
04/02-16 92 62 41 41 59 NNE  7  7 2 1 WSW 26  4416 NNE 14 54709  F
04/02-17 92 62 41 40 62 NNE  7  7 2 1   W 28  4524   N 16 64028   G
04/02-18 97 61 39 39 64 NNE  7  7 2 1   W 29  4633   N 18 73348   G

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RPK
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150331.MANCH.01/BOU



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