Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 201411
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 165...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
911 AM EST Mon Feb 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 EST on February 21.

If conditions become unrepresentative...
contact the National Weather Service in State College.

.DISCUSSION...

A ridge of high pressure over Ohio this morning will push east
across Pennsylvania tonight and early Tuesday, maintaining fair
and very mild weather throughout the district.

A weak cold front will push into the far northwest part of
the state late Tuesday, before crossing the rest of the region
Tuesday night and early Wednesday, accompanied by one or two
brief periods of showers.

*Some forecast parameters not available beyond 7pm Tuesday since
 the requested forecast start time was midnight tonight. If you
 want to see forecast data for any part of Monday, please advise
via feedback, email or call the office. Thanks! BG


.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 47.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds...becoming south 5 to
                    6 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......600-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........2...or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57  58  59  60  61  62  65  68  71  73  73  73
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............30  29  31  34  36  39  42  44  47  47  46  45
RH..............72  75  72  66  64  59  55  53  49  51  55  60
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  10  12  12  12  12  13  14  15  16
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). A chance of
                    showers.
LAL.................No Tstms until 2000.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light and variable.
Mixing height.......1400-1600 ft AGL early in the evening.
Transport winds.....South around 16 mph early in the evening.
Haines Index........2...or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth early in the evening.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........73  96  96  96  96  96  96  96  96  96  96  96
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Temp............45  44  43  42  42  41  41  41  40  40  40  39
RH..............62  68  70  76  76  79  82  82  85  85  89  92
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.4 M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind dir.S   S   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.16  16  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Haines index....2   2   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent)...then becoming mostly
                    sunny (30-40 percent). A chance of showers
                    early in the morning.
LAL.................
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......MISSING.
Transport winds.....
Haines Index........MISSING.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........96  33  33  33  33  33  33  33  33  33  33  33
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Temp............39  40  42  45  50  53  56  58  61  62  61  59
RH..............92  89  86  79  71  66  62  59  53  52  56  60
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind dir.M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Transp wind spd.M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
Haines index....M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...WFO-CTP/Gartner
Requested by...Ben Jones
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702481.0/CTP
.EMAIL benjjones@pa.gov


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