Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 061723
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR S-130 TRAINING...DCNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1223 PM EST FRI MAR 6 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON MARCH 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS NORTH OF PENNSYLVANIA
SATURDAY...BRINGING A FEW SNOW SHOWERS TO THE
NORTHERN PART OF THE STATE.

&&

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH LATE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............26  29  30  35  35  38
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................17  20  21  21  22  21
RH..................53  52  54  55  56  58
20 FT WIND DIR......W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......0   1   1   1   2   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.1 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   SW  W   W   W   SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   3   5   8   9   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 13.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............41  43  46  45  48  51  53  54  54  54  54  54
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................20  18  18  17  16  16  15  15  16  16  17  17
RH..................60  62  63  65  67  67  67  66  67  67  67  69
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   6   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.8 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   7   6   6   6   6   6   7   9   12  14  14
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   3

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 21 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EST)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............54  68  68  68  68  68  68  72  72  72  72  72
WEATHER COV.........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........    SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................17  17  20  22  25  28  30  33  33  33  34  33
RH..................70  71  70  68  66  65  64  63  63  63  63  66
20 FT WIND DIR......W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......7   8   8   9   10  10  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.4 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14  14  16  18  21  20  18  17  17  18  18  17
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
FORECASTER...LACORTE
REQUESTED BY...RICK MEINTEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150307.S130T.01/CTP



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