Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Cheyenne, WY

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000
FNUS75 KCYS 181331
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONTGOMERY PASTURE RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
731 AM MDT THU SEP 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE BURN SITE TODAY...WITH
WINDS INCREASING THIS MORNING AND BECOMING SOUTHWEST. GUSTS OF
AROUND 20 MPH ARE LIKELY AFTER 1000 MDT AND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. FOR FRIDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST IN THE MORNING AND LOOKS TO MOVE ACROSS THE
BURN SITE AROUND 0900 MDT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST BEHIND THE
FRONT WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING AHEAD
OF THE FRONT IN THE MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE LATE
AFTERNOON. RAINFALL FROM ANY STORMS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY
LIGHT...WITH A COUPLE HUNDREDTHS TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH
POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    13-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH AFTER 1000 MDT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (52400-109300 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0400 MDT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 11 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-6 MPH AFTER
                    2300 MDT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER
                    0400 MDT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1200-57200 KNOT-FT).

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 7-11 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (40800-110000 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...MAZUR
REQUESTED BY...DERICK YOUNGERMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140918.MONTG.01/CYS






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