Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 161555
FWSEPZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK VALLEY...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SANTA TERESA NM/EL PASO TX
855 AM MST MON JAN 16 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON JANUARY 16.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE EL PASO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LATER TODAY ESPECIALLY OVER THE GILA WILDERNESS AND SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. THIS
WILL INCREASE TO A CHANCE FOR SOME LOWLAND RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW SHOWERS OVER MOST AREAS TUESDAY.  RAIN AND SNOW AMOUNTS
SHOULD BE LIGHT. WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING CONDITIONS
IMPROVE WITH WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY AIR. THEN ANOTHER SYSTEM
BRINGS BACK UNSETTLED WEATHER BY LATE FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND WITH
A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND INCREASING WIND.
&&

...PERCENTAGES SHOWN IN THE SKY/WEATHER PORTION REFLECT
SKY COVER AMOUNT...

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN
                    THE MORNING. ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (43200 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM
SKY (%).........59     58     58     58
WEATHER COV.....ISOLD ISOLD ISOLD ISOLD
WEATHER TYPE....SN/FG  RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     10     10     10
TEMP............34     44     46     44
RH..............89     60     55     57
20 FT WIND......W 8    W 7    W 5    SW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10
VENT RATE.......POOR   FAIR   FAIR   FAIR

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (20150 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MST)      5 PM         9 PM         1 AM
SKY (%).........65           65           74
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD       SCTTRD       SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSN         RNSN         SNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).30           30           30
TEMP............37           33           28
RH..............75           89           100
20 FT WIND......S 2G5        SE 4G10      SE 5G10
VENT RATE.......POOR         POOR         POOR

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING 5 TO 10 MMPH AFTN.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (40000 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MST)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
SKY (%).........52        52        55        55
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD    ISOLTD    ISOLTD    ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR    SNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TSTM COV........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
CHC OF PCPN (%).20        20        20        20
TEMP............28        26        42        44
RH..............92        100       62        57
20 FT WIND......SE 4G10   SE 2G5    SE 3G8    S 5-10
VENT RATE.......POOR      POOR      POOR      FAIR

$$
FORECASTER...NOVLAN
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN CURNUTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700441.0/EPZ
.EMAIL NCURNUTT@BLM.GOV



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