Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
000
FNUS74 KEWX 211344
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for Royal Pines...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
844 AM CDT Mon Aug 21 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0900 CDT on August 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
 Few to scattered low level clouds are expected across the Royal Pines
area for the rest of today with highs in the 97 to 99 degrees range. Light
and variable winds will persist through the rest of this morning and
becoming southeasterly 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Isolated showers and even
a thunderstorm could be possible this afternoon nearby or just to the southeast
of the Royal Pines as coastal plains activity pushes inland.
Any storm that develops could produce wind gusts of 20 to 25 mph.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................2 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1400 ft AGL increasing to 8100-8300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 2 to 10 mph increasing to around 13
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  44  46  48  50  48  46  43  44
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............82  85  88  91  93  94  97  98  98
RH..............77  70  63  54  49  46  40  39  39
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..4   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   8
20 FT wind gust.5                   15  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.5                   15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 4.6 5.1 6.0 6.4 6.9 7.8 8.3 8.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.3   5   5   6   7   8   9   10  13
Haines index....3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
CWR.................2 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 1900, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 8 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph until early morning
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......6500-7900 ft AGL decreasing to 1100-1500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 99.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1400-2100 ft AGL increasing to 8200-8900 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...17
Requested by...Texas A&M Forest Service
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1714636.1/EWX
.EMAIL shamrick@tfs.tamu.edu



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.