Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 051620
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR PRIETA PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
920 AM MST THU MAY 5 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0925 MST ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 6 PM MST
THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS TODAY ALONG WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND A RED FLAG WARNING
IS IN EFFECT. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN BREEZY THROUGH THE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. HIGHER HUMIDITY AND
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVES FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70 TO 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........11 TO 15 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING
                    SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
                    AFTER 11 AM MST.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (203700 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......2037.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 KNOTS INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
                    KNOTS IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........53 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40
                    MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......POOR (1300 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......13.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    1100 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10
                    KNOTS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 32 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT (142200 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......1422.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...JOHNDROW
REQUESTED BY...BARRY WALLACE
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160505.PRIET.01/FGZ



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