Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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FNUS75 KGJT 252118
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for 412 Fire...U.S. Forest Service
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
318 PM MDT Sun Jun 25 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 MDT on June 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Isolated thunderstorms will affect the southern San Juans near the
burn location Monday. Some scattered cloud cover and build-ups will
persist through the evening however lightning activity and precipitation
threats will be low after 6pm. Winds will diminish overnight with RH
recovering to near 50% and dry weather expected. The burn location will
see an uptick in wind speeds on Tuesday with dry weather expected. Winds
could gust as high as 20 mph out of the west-southwest during the
mid-afternoon hours.

Dry weather will persist through the rest of the week with very low
precipitation threat. Afternoon RH minimums will run in the 10-10% range
each day recovering to around 40% overnight.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10%), then becoming partly cloudy
                    (30-40%). Scattered showers and thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....74-79 F.
Min humidity........16-21%.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 MPH, becoming south 5-10 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds in any
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14000 knot-ft) early, then becoming
                    excellent in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
LAL.................4.
Mixing height.......13500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 MPH.
Clearing Index......750, increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50%). Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the early evening.
Min temperature.....43-48 F.
Max humidity........51-56%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 MPH, becoming southeast after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent, decreasing to poor (7000 knot-ft) in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........5 moderate.
LAL.................2.
Mixing height.......12000 ft AGL, decreasing to 1000 ft AGL after
                    midnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 MPH.
Clearing Index......1050, decreasing to 50 after midnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40%), then becoming mostly
                    sunny (10-20%).
Max temperature.....70-75 F.
Min humidity........10-15%.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 MPH, becoming southwest 10-15 mph
                    in the afternoon with some gusts to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair, increasing to excellent in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........6 high.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL, increasing to 11000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 MPH.
Clearing Index......1050.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Clear. Lows 38-48. Highs 64-74. Southwest winds 5-10 MPH with gusts
up to 20 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Clear. Lows 37-47. Highs 64-74. West winds 5-10 MPH with gusts up to
25 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Clear. Lows 39-49. Highs 66-76. West winds 5-10 MPH with gusts up to
20 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Mike Charnick
Requested by...412 Incident Commander
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1711592.0/GJT



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