Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

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000
FNUS75 KGJT 181421
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAULS CREEK RX...USFS/SAN JUAN NF/COLUMBINE RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
821 AM MDT THU SEP 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS TO THE EAST TODAY AND A PACIFIC
TROUGH WILL LINGER ALONG THE WEST COAST. MOISTURE FROM ODILE WILL
STAY TO OUR SOUTH. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY FORM THIS AFTERNOON
BUT MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER SAN JUANS. CHANCES OF MAINLY MOUNTAIN
THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE JUST A BIT ON FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING SOUTH 2-7 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 1-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR EXCEPT EXCELLENT NEAR SHOWERS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-34%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 1-5 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...BRITTON QUINLAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140918.SAULS.01/GJT


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