Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS73 KGRR 251315
FWSGRR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FRASER2...MDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
915 AM EDT Tue Apr 25 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (616) 949-5150, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...
PARTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
LOCATED TO THE WEST OF LAKE MICHIGAN WILL RESULT IN SOUTHEAST
WINDS BOTH TODAY AND TONIGHT AT THE FIRE LOCATION. WE SHOULD
REMAIN DRY BOTH TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 12 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 15
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4800-5300
                    FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 13 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400 /GOOD/ AT IGNITION. MAX...800 /EXCELLENT/.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........66     63     63     64     66     68
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............64     70     73     74     73     68
RH..............60     51     48     48     49     61
20 FT WIND......SE 10  S 9    S 9    S 9    SE 8   SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   4300   5300   5200   4500   2700
HAINES INDEX....2      3      3      4      4      4
SMOKE DISPERSAL 400    600    600    600    800    500

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...DON KLINGLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707732.0/GRR
.EMAIL KLINGLERD@MICHIGAN.GOV



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