Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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000
FNUS72 KGSP 252358
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for Longnose Planning...USFS
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
658 PM EST Sat Feb 25 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on February 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Cooler high pressure will build into the region from the west
through Sunday. Warmer air should return during the first half of
next week. A warm front lifts north through the area around midweek
as a cold front approaches from the west bringing showers and storms.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........19 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light northwest...becoming south around 5 mph late.
Mixing height.......3400-4800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (20600 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................34...decreasing to 25 early in the afternoon.
Stability class.....2.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........20800.
Visibility (SM).....7.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.94.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   3   3   5   6   7   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............49  54  57  58  60  60  59  55
Dewpoint........19  19  18  18  17  17  18  20
RH..............30  25  22  20  19  19  20  25
20 FT wind dir..NE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   4   5   4
20 FT wind gust.10  5   5   5   5   5       5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.8 3.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   6   5   6   6   7
LVORI...........1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............38  38  34  29  28  21  23  23
VRate kt-ft/100027  28  25  22  21  22  24  21
Ceiling (hft)...250 250 250 208 208 208 208 208
Visibility (sm).8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7
Sfc pres (in)...897 896 896 896 895 895 894 895

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent)...then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 36.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light south winds, becoming north overnight.
Mixing height.......1300-2800 ft AGL...decreasing to 300-800 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 7 mph...becoming north 2 to 5 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (500-17000 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2.
Stability class.....6.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........18200...decreasing to 13800 after midnight.
Visibility (SM).....7 early in the evening.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.96.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  11  12  13  14  22  31  39  44  49  54  60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  49  47  45  44  42  41  41  40  39  38  37
Dewpoint........22  24  24  24  25  25  26  26  26  26  26  27
RH..............30  36  40  44  46  50  53  56  58  60  62  65
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.5       5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 1.8 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   SE  E   NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   3   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............3   3   2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
VRate kt-ft/100017  11  6   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Ceiling (hft)...208 208 208 208 208 208 182 138 138 138 138 138
Visibility (sm).7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Sfc pres (in)...896 897 899 901 903 903 903 903 902 902 902 903

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers early in the morning. A chance of
                    showers in the late morning and afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light northeast winds...becoming east around 5 mph early
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-2100 ft AGL...increasing to 2400-3100 ft
                    AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 7 mph...becoming southeast 10 to
                    16 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (900-39000 knot-ft).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................6...increasing to 34.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.12 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........11700...decreasing to 3200 in the afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....MISSING.
Sfc pressure (in)...28.99.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  71  74  77  80  83  85  87  88  88  89  89
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............37  37  41  46  49  53  55  56  58  58  58  56
Dewpoint........27  28  29  30  30  32  34  36  37  38  39  41
RH..............68  70  61  53  48  46  46  47  46  48  50  56
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   NE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.3   5   7   10  13  15  16  16  16  15  14  14
LVORI...........3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............3   4   8   16  24  30  34  37  37  35  34  32
VRate kt-ft/10001   1   5   12  21  28  34  39  39  38  38  33
Ceiling (hft)...138 148 138 138 127 127 117 32  32  32  32  32
Visibility (sm).
Sfc pres (in)...904 906 908 910 912 910 908 907 904 902 899 900

$$
Forecaster...John Tomko
Requested by...Wes Bentley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702902.0/GSP


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