Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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FNUS72 KGSP 192111
FWSGSP

SPOT FORECAST FOR JONAS CRK TRAIL...GREAT SMOKY MTNS NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
511 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1656 EDT ON JULY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE MAIN IMPACT WEATHER THIS EVENING WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS. THE PRIMARY
THREAT IF A THUNDERSTORM PASSES OVERHEAD WOULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WIND
GUSTS. HAIL UP TO DIME SIZE AND FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE AS WELL. CHANCES WILL TAPER OFF QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET. FOG WILL
LIKELY DEVELOP IN VALLEYS OVERNIGHT PARTICULARLY IF RAIN OCCURS THIS
EVENING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG
                    LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............27     38     31     23     16     21
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC                PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   FOG
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
TEMP................82     76     70     66     65     64
RH..................59     68     81     92     93     94
20 FT WIND..........N 2    N 2    NE 2   E 1    E 1    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............19     12     12     17     28     25
WEATHER COV.........PATCHY PATCHY               S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                            S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................63     64     71     79     84     84
RH..................97     94     77     58     47     45
20 FT WIND..........E 2    E 2    N 2    N 2    N 3    N 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5      10

$$
FORECASTER...WIMBERLEY
REQUESTED BY...RANGER COREY SUTTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20160719.JONAS.01/GSP



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