Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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000
FNUS72 KJAX 290829
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMPARTMENT 42...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
429 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...PATCHY FOG AND LOW CLOUDS EXPECTED EARLY THIS
MORNING. ABOVE AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY.
WITH THE DAYTIME HEATING...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS
ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. RH VALUES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON....THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 3 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO AROUND 25 LATE IN THE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........38     43     45     47     49
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............73     83     88     90     90
RH..............80     59     48     45     45
20 FT WIND......W 2    NW 3   NW 2   W 1    SW 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5
DISPERSION IDX..4      16     24     24     23
LVORI...........4      2      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     20     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2 UNTIL 0100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH EARLY BECOMING SOUTH TO
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH IN THE EVENING...
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....17 DECREASING THEN DECREASING TO 3 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........49     52     45     39     32     30
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
TEMP............88     82     77     74     71     69
RH..............50     61     71     76     84     90
20 FT WIND......S 1    E 2    SE 8   SE 8   S 3    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      15     15     5      5
DISPERSION IDX..19     3      12     9      2      1
LVORI...........2      3      3      4      5      7
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     20     10     10

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY TO PARTLY SUNNY (25-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE MORNING...
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 55 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........28     26     29     32     35     35
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                            S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............68     68     79     86     89     90
RH..............93     93     62     50     44     44
20 FT WIND......NE 2   SE 5   SE 7   SE 7   S 6    SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5             10     10     10
DISPERSION IDX..1      4      23     50     56     44

$$
FORECASTER...SHASHY
REQUESTED BY...JESSICA VINCENT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160429.COMPA.01/JAX



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