Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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000
FNUS74 KLCH 181249
FWSLCH

SPOT FORECAST FOR CINNAMON TEAL FIRE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
749 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH ABUNDANT GULF MOISTURE TO
PRODUCE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. SOME HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STORMS...ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
GOOD RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ON SATURDAY AS DECENT MOISTURE AND
THE UPPER LEVEL TROF LINGER ACROSS THE REGION.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........ SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSION....VERY GOOD.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........90  90  90  90  90  90  89  88  88  87
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............81  81  82  83  83  84  84  84  84  83
RH..............85  79  77  74  74  72  72  72  72  74
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   9   9   10  10  9   9   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.7   7   6   7   8   8   7   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.5
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20  20  20  20  20  20  18  17  16  15
TRANS SPD (M/S).9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8   7   7
HAINES INDEX....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS LIKELY
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSION....FAIR.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........86     83     80     77     75     75
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............83     81     79     79     78     78
RH..............74     79     85     87     90     91
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 7    S 6    S 6    S 6    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 5    S 5    S 5    S 5    S 5    S 4
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     10     10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   3100   2700   2500   2500   2300
MIX HGT (M).....1070   940    820    760    760    700
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 14  SW 13  SW 12  SW 10  SW 9   SW 8
TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 14  SW 13  SW 12  SW 10  SW 9   SW 8
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      2

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5
                    TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSION....GOOD.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........75        74        71        67
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM    TSTORM    TSTORM    TSTORM
TEMP............78        82        86        86
RH..............93        79        68        68
20 FT WIND......SW 5      SW 3G5    SW 3G5    S 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 4G5    SW 3G5    SW 3G5    S 4G5
MIX HGT (FT)....2400      3300      4200      4100
MIX HGT (M).....730       1010      1280      1250
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7       W 2       W 5       SW 5
TRAN WIND (M/S).W 7       W 2       W 5       SW 5
HAINES INDEX....2         2         2         2

$$
FORECASTER...RUA
REQUESTED BY...JAMIE FARMER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140718.CINNA.01/LCH






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