Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FNUS74 KLCH 291615
FWSLCH

SPOT FORECAST FOR SANDHILL RX UNIT...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1115 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON JUNE 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE FROM THE RECENTLY WASHED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT WHEN COMBINED WITH A FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL WIND
PATTERN TO PRODUCE A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.
A MORE TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN OF SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS
CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-5400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-5900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........59  63  66  69  73  76  72
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP (F)........88  90  91  92  92  91  91
RH (%)..........66  62  58  56  56  58  58
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7   7   6   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  5
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   3   2
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  10  10  10  10  5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.7 4.9 5.2 5.4 5.7 5.9 5.6
MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16  15  15  14  14  13  13
TRANS SPD (M/S).7   7   7   6   6   6   6
HAINES INDEX....4   3   3   3   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3200-3400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........67  63  57  52  46  46  46  46  50  54  58  61
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP (F)........89  87  84  82  79  78  78  78  78  77  76  75
RH (%)..........64  68  74  79  88  91  91  91  91  90  94  97
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.4 5.1 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.1 5.1 4.5 3.8 3.2 3.4
MIX HGT (KM)....1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  14  15  16  18  18  20  20  18  17  15
TRANS SPD (M/S).6   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   8   8   7
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900-7700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO
                    4100-5600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........65  69  68  66  65  63  61  59  62  64  67  65
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP (F)........74  75  78  82  86  88  89  90  90  90  90  89
RH (%)..........100 97  91  85  77  70  64  60  60  58  58  59
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 3.9 4.2 4.6 4.9 5.9 6.8 7.7 6.7 5.6 4.6 4.1
MIX HGT (KM)....1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  13  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
TRANS SPD (M/S).6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$

FORECASTER...MARCOTTE
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN BENEDICT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150629.SANDH.01/LCH


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