Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Chicago, IL

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FNUS73 KLOT 211443
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SPOT FORECAST FOR MNOKE PRAIRIE...INDIANA DUNES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
843 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING
WILL MOVE EAST THIS AFTERNOON WITH WINDS BECOMING SOUTHERLY. WHILE
MIXING HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO AROUND 2000 FT AGL THIS
AFTERNOON...WINDS IN THE MIXED LAYER WILL ONLY GRADUALLY INCREASE
INTO THE 14 TO 18 MPH RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING WITH A PERIOD OF
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED TONIGHT...CHANGING TO LIGHT RAIN OR
DRIZZLE BY SATURDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........25 AT IGNITION...MAX 31.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH THIS MORNING INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO A
                    MAX HEIGHT OF 2000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..31.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /14500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
                    /31500 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13  3   3   4   4   9   14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............25  28  30  30  31  30  29
RH..............55  46  42  44  45  49  53
20FT WIND DIR...190 180 180 180 180 170 170
20FT SPEED(MPH).6   6   7   7   8   9   9
20FT SPEED(KT)..5   6   6   6   7   8   8
20FT GUST(MPH)..10  13  14  16  17  18  20
20FT GUST(KT)...9   11  12  14  15  16  17
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.190 180 180 180 180 180 170
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  15  16  17  18  18  17
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
VRATE KT-FT/100015  23  26  29  32  27  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF FREEZING
                    RAIN OR SLEET LATE IN THE EVENING. FREEZING
                    RAIN LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN LIKELY
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 26.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 39
                    TO 45 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8000-20500 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........20  43  67  90  93  97  100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....            SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....            FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR FZR RN  RN  RN
TEMP............27  27  27  27  28  29  30  31  32  33  34  36
RH..............63  63  65  68  68  69  69  72  75  78  82  79
20FT WIND DIR...170 170 170 180 180 180 180 180 190 190 190 200
20FT SPEED(MPH).10  10  10  11  11  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
20FT SPEED(KT)..8   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20FT GUST(MPH)..20  21  22  23  23  24  24  24  24  24  24  24
20FT GUST(KT)...17  18  19  20  20  21  21  21  21  21  21  21
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.170 180 200 210 210 210 210 220 220 230 230 230
TRANSP WIND SPD.17  20  23  28  30  33  37  39  43  44  45  44
CWR.............0   0   0   20  20  20  60  60  60  70  70  70
VRATE KT-FT/100015  15  14  12  17  20  21  18  14  10  9   8

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. INTERMITTENT LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46.
RH..................MIN 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 35 TO 43 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..56.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6500-23000 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....ITR ITR ITR ITR ITR ITR ITR ITR ITR ITR ITR ITR
WEATHER TYPE....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TEMP............37  38  38  39  40  42  43  43  44  44  45  46
RH..............82  82  82  82  82  79  82  82  82  86  82  79
20FT WIND DIR...200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 210 210 200
20FT SPEED(MPH).12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  11  11  11  11
20FT SPEED(KT)..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20FT GUST(MPH)..24  24  24  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  24  24
20FT GUST(KT)...21  21  21  22  22  22  22  22  22  22  21  21
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230 230
TRANSP WIND SPD.43  39  37  35  36  38  40  40  39  38  37  36
CWR.............60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
VRATE KT-FT/10009   12  15  16  14  12  9   7   7   9   16  23

$$
FORECASTER...SULLIVAN
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL GRISMER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141121.MNOKE.01/LOT




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