Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 210820
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
320 AM CDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT...AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES ACROSS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................77 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 66 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5300 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4316 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............68  69  71  72  72  73  73
RH..............77  73  69  68  66  66  66
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   6   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.7   7   7   7   7   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   3   4   3   3   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.4   4   4   4   4   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15  15  14  14  13  13  13
CHC OF PCPN (%).70  60  60  60  60  60  60

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 99 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTH 13 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......N/A.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............72  71  68  65  63  62  61  60  59  58  58  57
RH..............67  71  77  84  88  91  93  95  96  97  98  98
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  14  15  16  17  20  20  21  21  21  21
CHC OF PCPN (%).60  60  60  60  60  60  60  30  30  30  20  20

.TUESDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   5   6   6   7   7   7   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7

$$
FORECASTER...B SMITH
REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.BUFFA.01/LZK






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