Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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583
FNUS74 KMAF 250911
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR COYOTE...NM ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
411 AM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0233 MDT ON MAY 25.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
CDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER REMAINS IN THE FORECAST AS PERSISTENT SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT PROMOTES WARM, DRY, WINDY AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS (HAINES 6
TODAY). MIN RHS WILL AGAIN QUICKLY DROP TO NEAR SINGLE DIGITS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON AS RIDGETOP WINDS GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH WITH ANOTHER DAY OF
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE A LITTLE STRONGER
ON THURSDAY BUT TEMPERATURES WILL COOL OFF A FEW DEGREES. STILL DRY
THOUGH AND SOLID CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72 ABOVE 7500 FT TO 80 TO 6000 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. RIDGETOP SOUTHWEST WINDS 22 TO 27 MPH HIGHER GUST.
                    DRAINAGE BOTTOMS SOUTHWEST TO TERRAIN DRIVEN 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE) INCREASING TO 6 (HIGH) IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (413000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0            0            0
TEMP............55           64           73
RH..............22           18           12
20 FT WIND DIR..W            W            W
20 FT WIND SPD..19           24           27
20 FT WIND GUST.28           37           45
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100       3800         7200
TRANS WIND DIR..W            W            SW
TRANS WIND SPD..9            24           33
VENT CAT........POOR         GOOD         EXCLNT
LAL.............1            1            1
HAINES INDEX....5            5            6

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT RIDGETOPS TO 30-40 PERECENT DRAINAGE
                    BOTTOMS.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. RIDGETOPS WEST WINDS 18 TO 23 MPH. GUSTS TO
                    40 MPH DECREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING.
                    DRAINAGE BOTTOMS TERRAIN DRIVEN 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH) DECREASING TO A 5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (197000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0            0            0
TEMP............76           68           61
RH..............11           14           18
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           W            W
20 FT WIND SPD..26           22           15
20 FT WIND GUST.40           30           25
MIX HGT (FT)....10200        BLW100       BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           W            W
TRANS WIND SPD..29           8            8
VENT CAT........EXCLNT       POOR         POOR
LAL.............1            1            1
HAINES INDEX....6            5            5

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-70 ABOVE 7500 FT TO 75-78 TO 6000 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. RIDGETOP WEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUST.
                    DRAINAGE BOTTOMS WEST 7 TO 10 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (16500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (388500 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR       CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0            0            0
TEMP............55           60           68
RH..............30           22           13
20 FT WIND DIR..W            W            W
20 FT WIND SPD..15           27           33
20 FT WIND GUST.25           40           50
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100       4900         9800
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           W            SW
TRANS WIND SPD..12           26           33
VENT CAT........POOR         VYGOOD       EXCLNT
LAL.............1            1            1
HAINES INDEX....4            3            4

$$

FORECASTER...MURDOCH
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160525.COYOT.01/MAF



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