Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 021252
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR PERROCHI...BIG CYPRESS NATIONAL PRESERVE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
852 AM EDT TUE SEP 2 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING.
BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON A WEST COAST SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...THE SEA BREEZE MAY NOT PENETRATE AS FAR INLAND AS THE BURN
SITE AND A LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW COULD CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST WITH GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE WITH THE OCCURRENCE
OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND/OR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 43 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4 UNTIL
                    1700...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 0 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 0 TO 8
                    MPH THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....0...INCREASING TO 21.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
SKY (%).........47  47  47  58  58  58  59  59  59  70  70  70
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT NUM NUM NUM SCT SCT SCT SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........SCT SCT SCT NUM NUM NUM SCT SCT SCT SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............88  90  92  93  92  90  86  85  83  80  78  77
RH..............66  61  58  56  61  61  71  71  77  85  89  89
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.            10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.4 3.4 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.2 2.2 2.2
MIXNG WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
MIXNG WIND SPD..2   2   2   8   8   8   6   6   6   5   5   5
DISPERSION IDX..12  12  12  25  25  25  16  16  16  2   2   2
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  30  30  60  60  60  40  40  40  20  20  20
LAL.............3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 0 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....1.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE
                    CLOUDINESS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 46 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 0 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    EARLY...THEN BECOMING EAST 7 TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....0...INCREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 45 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 20 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...DIEHL
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS NEPPL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140902.PERRO.01/MFL


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