Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 282204
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR 790 FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
304 PM PDT THU AUG 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1239 PDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE FIRE
AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE LINE FORMING A LINE FROM BEND
THROUGH CRATER LAKE THEN FURTHER SOUTH TO NEAR MEDFORD. WINDS
WILL BE MAINLY OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND
OVERNIGHT. SUBSIDENCE INVERSION IS STILL IN PLACE AND THE UPPER
END OF THE FIRE AREA COULD SEE POOR RECOVERY TONIGHT. THE OVERALL
PATTERN WILL SHIFT FROM RIDGING TO TROUGHING THIS WEEKEND WITH A
SURFACE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE FIRE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS COULD BE GUSTY FROM NORTHWEST WIND CHANNELLING INTO THE
VALLEYS. THE FRONT WILL BE DRY AND NO RAIN IS EXPECTED. HOWEVER
THE AIR MASS WILL ALSO BE DRY BEHIND THE FRONT AND HUMIDITY MAY
NOT IMPROVE THAT MUCH IN SPITE OF COOLER TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74 TO 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 18 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 4 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. AREAS OF SMOKE IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 60 PERCENT...EXCEPT 30-40 PERCENT AT
                    THE UPPER END OF THE FIRE AREA.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT
                    NORTHWEST WIND 1 TO 2 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    DECREASING TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 TO 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 TO 23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...MIKE HOLGUIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140828.790FI.02/MFR







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