008
FNUS72 KMLB 100855
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Gate 5 WF...FFS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
455 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 EDT on May 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A few rounds of showers and storms possible at the site, ahead of
an approaching cold front from late morning through this evening.
Strong to isolated severe storms will be possible, producing
wind gusts up to 40 to 60 mph, small hail, and locally heavy
rainfall. Strong outflow winds even well ahead of storms will be
possible today, producing gusty and erratic winds. However, winds
will generally be out of the west to southwest to 10 to 15 mph,
with gusts up to 20 to 25 mph this afternoon. Min RH values
forecast around the mid to upper 40s, with very good dispersion
values. It will be unseasonably hot, with a maximum temperature
in the low 90s.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Areas of smoke
                    early in the morning. Slight chance of showers
                    early in the morning. Chance of showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
                    morning into the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 17 mph increasing to 20 to 21 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 64.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........49     63     67     65     60     53
Weather cov.....AREAS  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....SMOKE  RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     20     40     30     30
LAL.............1      1      1      2      2      2
Temp............73     76     84     87     92     93
RH..............97     90     70     61     49     47
20 ft wind......SW 7   SW 9   SW 10  W 13   W 14   W 14
20 ft wind gust.              15     17     20     20
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1300   2400   3600   4400   4800
Transport wind..W 10   W 14   W 15   W 17   W 21   W 21
Dispersion idx..8      26     39     42     60     63
LVORI...........6      4      3      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers in the evening and overnight. Slight
                    chance of thunderstorms. Slight chance of
                    showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 0500, then No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....56 decreasing to 13.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........50     50     52     57     64     62
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30     30     30     30     20     20
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2      2
Temp............92     85     79     75     74     71
RH..............49     63     79     90     93     97
20 ft wind......W 14   W 14   W 13   W 12   W 10   W 9
20 ft wind gust.20     18     17     16     14
Mix hgt (ft)....3500   1000   400    400    500    500
Transport wind..W 18   W 17   W 15   W 14   W 15   W 12
Dispersion idx..56     15     13     13     13     11
LVORI...........1      2      4      4      5      6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    north 12 to 13 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 4400 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 12 mph increasing to around 12 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 26 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 43 late in the morning increasing
                    to 46 in the afternoon decreasing to 38.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........52     36     24     22     25     20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............70     71     78     81     83     83
RH..............97     90     70     59     53     52
20 ft wind......NW 8   NW 8   N 9    N 10   N 13   NE 13
20 ft wind gust.       13     14     15     16     15
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1300   3200   4200   4400   3600
Transport wind..NW 10  N 12   N 9    N 9    NW 10  N 12
Dispersion idx..10     21     38     49     46     42
LVORI...........6      4      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Weitlich
Requested by...Jason Longfellow
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2413654.1/MLB
.DELDT 05/10/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Jason.longfellow@fdacs.gov