Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 251016
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JEFF FRIEND FIRE...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
516 AM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0451 CDT ON MAY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES IN THE SHORT TERM.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN POSITIONED FROM THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC INTO THE EASTERN STATES THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
MEANWHILE...AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
STATES WILL BRING AN INCREASED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST. ALTHOUGH RADAR SHOWS THE BETTER COVERAGE
INITIALLY OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCREASING COVERAGE TO THE
EAST IS FORECAST DURING THE DAY. A HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN IS
FORECAST ON AVERAGE ACROSS THE GULF COAST THROUGH TUESDAY. LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF ANY STRONGER STORMS.
STRONG STORMS WILL LIKELY CONTAIN BRIEF STRONG AND ERRATIC WIND GUSTS
FROM 40 TO 50 MPH AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING AS WELL. DAYTIME DISPERSION
IS FORECAST TO BE GENERALLY GOOD WITHIN A MODERATE TO STRONG MIXED
LAYER SOUTHEAST FLOW.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY AREAS OF OVERNIGHT FOG MAY REDUCE
VISIBILITY TO BETWEEN 2 AND 4 MILES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 1O TO 15 MPH
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FEET.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28 INCREASING TO 54.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 3
STABILITY CLASS.....D.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........66     74     74     74     87     87
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............75     76     78     79     80     80
RH................96     89     83     79     77     77
20 FT WIND DIR....ESE    SE     SE     SE     SSE    SSE
20 FT WIND SPD....11     14     12     12     12     11
20 FT WIND GUST...18     23     22     22     21     20
MIX HGT (FT)......2100   2400   2800   2800   3200   3000
MIX HGT (M).......640    730    850    850    980    910
TRANSP WIND DIR...SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...21     21     22     22     22     22
TRANS SPD (M/S)...9      9      10     10     10     10
DISPERSION........28     44     50     50     54     52
LVORI.............4      4      4      4      3      3
STABILITY CLASS...D      D      D      D      D      D
CWR...............50     50     50     50     50     50

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 2200-2400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 18 TO 23 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52 DECREASING TO 12 EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 30 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............INCREASING TO 4.
STABILITY CLASS.....D.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........87     70     70     70     70     70
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............80     78     77     77     77     77
RH................78     82     86     89     91     91
20 FT WIND DIR....SSE    SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
20 FT WIND SPD....11     10     12     12     12     12
20 FT WIND GUST...20     17     21     21     21     21
MIX HGT (FT)......3000   2800   2500   2500   2200   2400
MIX HGT (M).......910    850    760    760    670    730
TRANSP WIND DIR...SE     SE     SE     SE     SE     SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...22     18     21     21     23     23
TRANS SPD (M/S)...10     8      9      9      10     10
DISPERSION........52     12     28     28     31     31
LVORI.............3      4      4      4      4      4
STABILITY CLASS...D      D      D      D      D      D
CWR...............50     40     40     40     50     50

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3300-3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 21 TO 23 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31 INCREASING TO 51.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 3.
STABILITY CLASS.....D BECOMING C EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING D IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........70     82     82     82     88     88
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............76     78     80     81     82     82
RH................92     87     80     78     76     76
20 FT WIND DIR....SE     SE     SE     SE     SSE    SSE
20 FT WIND SPD....12     12     12     12     12     12
20 FT WIND GUST...21     21     21     21     22     21
MIX HGT (FT)......2400   2500   3000   3000   3500   3300
MIX HGT (M).......730    760    910    910    1070   1010
TRANSP WIND DIR...SE     SE     SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE
TRANSP WIND SPD...23     22     21     21     21     21
TRANS SPD (M/S)...10     10     9      9      9      9
DISPERSION........31     48     50     50     54     52
LVORI.............4      3      3      3      3      3
STABILITY CLASS...D      C      D      D      D      D
CWR...............50     60     60     60     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...10
REQUESTED BY...JOSH HAVIRD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150525.JEFFF.01/MOB



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