Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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101
FNUS74 KMOB 231040
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR EGLIN AFB...JACKSON GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
440 AM CST MON JAN 23 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...A LARGE AND STRONG FRONTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE
CAROLINAS AND VIRGINIAS THIS MORNING IS FORECAST TO LIFT NORTHEAST...
BECOMING POSITIONED OFF THE NORTHEAST US COAST TONIGHT. A MODERATE
TO STRONG MIXED LAYER NORTHWEST FLOW TODAY...RESULTS IN GOOD
DISPERSION. LOWEST DAYTIME HUMIDITIES REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35
                    MPH IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO 20 TO 23
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....63 DECREASING TO 56.
LVORI...............1.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........31  24  22  18  16  14  10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............61  63  64  65  64  62  59
RH..............65  60  57  55  57  60  64
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..17  17  16  15  14  14  13
20 FT WIND GUST.30  25  25  25  25  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.26  25  24  25  24  23  20
DISPERSION IDX..63  58  58  58  59  57  56
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 8 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....25 DECREASING TO 8.
LVORI...............5.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   8   8   7   6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............57  55  53  52  51  49  48  46  45  43  42  41
RH..............69  74  77  80  84  88  91  93  96  99  99  100
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..12  11  11  10  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  17  18  18  17  16  15  13  10  9   8   7
DISPERSION IDX..25  23  22  21  19  17  15  13  11  10  9   8
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   6   7   7

$$
FORECASTER...10
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN PRICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700634.0/MOB
.EMAIL NATHAN.PRICE@US.AF.MIL



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