Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 311058
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR EGLIN WILDLAND SUPPORT...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
558 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL WAFFLE BACK AND FORTH ALONG
THE COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS BOUNDARY WILL BECOME A TRIGGER FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS
AND COULD CAUSE SIGNIFICANT VARIABILITY WITH THE WINDS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LIGHT FOG IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
                                  BUT SHOULD BURN OFF SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4600 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST-NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 7
                    TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON INCREASING TO WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 13
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 50.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........73     73     73     73     73
WEATHER COV.......ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............83     89     92     93     91
RH................76     64     57     54     56
20 FT WIND DIR....E      ENE    SE     SE     SSE
20 FT WIND SPD....1      3      5      5      7
20 FT WIND GUST...                            15
MIX HGT (FT)......200    2800   5400   5400   4600
MIX HGT (M).......60     850    1650   1650   1400
TRANSP WIND DIR...ENE    ESE    SSE    SSE    WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      7      9      9      13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...2      3      4      4      6
DISPERSION........2      21     34     34     50
LVORI.............5      3      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      C      C      C
CWR...............20     20     50     50     50

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH BECOMING
                    WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 6
                    TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....50 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........73     52     52     52     38     38
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............89     83     79     77     76     75
RH................60     73     80     85     88     89
20 FT WIND DIR....SSE    SE     E      E      ENE    NE
20 FT WIND SPD....7      3      2      2      2      3
20 FT WIND GUST...15
MIX HGT (FT)......4600   2500   500    500    300    100
MIX HGT (M).......1400   760    150    150    90     30
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    WNW    SSW    SSW    SSW    W
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     7      7      7      6      7
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      3      3      3      3      3
DISPERSION........50     3      3      3      3      3
LVORI.............1      3      5      5      6      6
STABILITY CLASS...C      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............50     30     30     30     20     20

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 6400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 35 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........38     24     24     24     80     80
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............75     80     88     92     92     89
RH................92     80     64     58     58     64
20 FT WIND DIR....NE     NE     E      E      SE     S
20 FT WIND SPD....3      2      4      4      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......100    200    3900   3900   7600   6400
MIX HGT (M).......30     60     1190   1190   2320   1950
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      N      NNE    NNE    NNW    NNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...7      6      8      8      9      9
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION........3      2      38     38     33     32
LVORI.............6      5      1      1      1      3
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      C      C
CWR...............20     50     50     50     50     50

$$
FORECASTER...8
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150731.EGLIN.01/MOB



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