Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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Spot Forecast for RAMSEY CASCADE FALLS RESCUE...GREAT SMOKY MT
National Weather Service Morristown TN
503 PM EDT Sun May 28 2017

Forecast is based on incident time of 1800 EDT on May 28.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible...please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...
THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL REMAIN IN A RATHER ACTIVE WEATHER
PATTERN THIS WEEK.  A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.
WHILE PORTIONS OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY THIS EVENING, SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MOST OF THESE
STORMS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS, BUT LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE IN
ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS. THE WEAKENING  FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL NEAR
THE TENNESSEE GEORGIA BORDER AND CONTINUE THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Max apparent temp...67.
Surface winds.......West winds 12 to 15 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.12 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........65  64  61  60  66  77  82  80  77  75  77  80
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50
Temp............67  65  64  63  62  62  61  60  60  59  59  59
RH..............75  78  75  78  84  87  93  96  96  96  93  93
Aparnt tmp (F)..67  65  64  63  62  62  61  60  60  59  59  59
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.13  12  12  12  12  13  14  15  15  15  14  12
Surface wnd gst.25  25  25  25  25  25  25  30  30  30  25  25

.MEMORIAL DAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Surface winds.......West winds 7 to 10 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.16 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........82  81  78  76  77  79  80  76  67  63  67  76
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  50  50  50  50  40  40  40  40  40  40
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  W   W
Surface wnd spd.10  9   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Surface wnd gst.20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorONIGHTms in the evening, then slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms after
                    midnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Surface winds.......West winds 5 to 7 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.05 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........80  80  80  80  80  80  72  72  72  72  72  72
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  20  20  20  20  20  20
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Surface wnd gst.15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Surface winds.......West winds 5 to 7 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.03 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........59  59  59  59  59  59  63  63  63  63  63  63
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...Elyse Hagner
Requested by...BECKY OGLE
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 1710217.0/MRX



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