Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pocatello, ID

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000
FNUS75 KPIH 171046
FWSPIH

SPOT FORECAST FOR FALL CREEK - NORTH BEAR...CARIBOU-TARGHEE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
446 AM MDT WED SEP 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY
NEAR AND AT THE BURN AREA. WINDS WILL BE ERRATIC DUE TO THE
STORMS... AND COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 45 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO END AROUND SUNSET. ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS IS EXPECTED BY NOON THURSDAY. THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WILL AGAIN PRODUCE ERRATIC WINDS BUT WILL ALSO INCLUDE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74 TO 78.
RH..................MIN 25 TO 29 PERCENT...BETWEEN 2 PM AND 4 PM.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7
                    MPH AROUND 2 PM.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4600-5600
                    FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    12 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53 TO 56.
RH..................MAX 58 TO 62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY WITH
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72 TO 76.
RH..................MIN 32 TO 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8
                    MPH AND GUSTY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................29 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    18 TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...HARMON
REQUESTED BY...DEB FLOWERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140917.FALLC.01/PIH









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