Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 111446
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Muddy Mountain Piles...BLM
National Weather Service Riverton WY
746 AM MST Mon Dec 11 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MST on December 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry with a clear sky through Tuesday with gusty west to southwest
winds and limited mixing. Smoke dispersal looks poor the next
couple days.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

FORECASTER...Skrbac

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....37-40.
Min humidity........22-25 percent.
20-foot winds.......West to southwest winds 11 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25
                    mph.
Ridge top winds.....West around 20 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.Zero percent.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500 FT AGL until 1200, then 1000-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....23-26.
Max humidity........52-55 percent.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts around 20 mph in the
                    evening, then increasing to 15 to 20 mph with gusts to
                    30 mph after midnight.
Ridge top winds.....West 15 to 20 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph after midnight.
Chc of wetting rain.Zero percent.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 17 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....42-45.
Min humidity........26-30 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts to around 35
                    mph.
Ridge top winds.....West around 25 mph.
Chc of wetting rain.Zero percent.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500 FT AGL until 1200, then 1000-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 21 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. West winds around 12 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy with slight chance of snow. Lows in the mid 20s.
Highs in the mid 30s. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Patchy blowing snow. Lows around 19. Highs in the
lower 30s. West winds around 18 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy with slight chance of snow. Patchy blowing snow.
Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest winds
around 22 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Skrbac
Requested by...Matthew Widiker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1719817.0/RIW
.EMAIL mwidiker@blm.gov


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