Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 281307
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD RIDGE II...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
707 AM MDT SAT MAR 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0645 MDT ON MARCH 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE THE WIND TO
INCREASE TODAY IN THE BURN AREA. ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET...THEN A GRADUAL DECREASE IN WIND
SPEED WILL OCCUR THROUGH MIDNIGHT. SUNDAY LOOKS COOLER AND DRY
WITH MUCH LESS WIND SPEED.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1000. THEN PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWER POSSIBLE FROM 1200 TO 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-66.  TEMPS DROPPING INTO THE 40S AFTER 1600.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-18 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 6 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 0900.
                    THEN INCREASING SOUTHWEST TO WEST WIND 15 TO 25
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH THROUGH 1200. AFTER 1200
                    WEST WIND 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS FROM 45 TO 55
                    MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 0900.
                    THEN INCREASING WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND 20 TO 25 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH UNTIL 1200. AFTER 1200
                    WEST WIND 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4100-5100 FT AGL BY 1300.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 25 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    WEST AT 35 TO 40 MPH AFTER 1200..
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT BY 1300.


.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-69 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WIND 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
                    UNTIL 2100.  THEN GRADUAL DECREASE IN WIND SPEED
                    THROUGH MIDNIGHT. WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH
                    AFTER 400 AM.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST WIND 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH UNTIL
                    2100.  THEN GRADUAL DECREASE IN WIND SPEED
                    THROUGH MIDNIGHT. WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH
                    AFTER 400 AM.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000-2000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AT 30 MPH UNTIL 2100.
                    WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER 400 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO FAIR AFTER SUNSET...THEN
                    POOR AFTER 400 AM.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-20 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 6 TO 11 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    WEST AT 11 TO 16 MPH AFTER 1200 WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    AFTER 1200.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 8 TO 13 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH AFTER 1200.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4300-5300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1200.  BECOMING GOOD AFTER 1200.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WINDY. WEST WIND 25 TO 30 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON.  HIGHS AROUND 60.

TUESDAY NIGHT...CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS...
SNOW SHOWERS AND ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.  HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
WEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...M  WOODS
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150328.BALDR.01/RIW






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