Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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997
FNUS74 KTSA 091424
FWSTSA

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHESNEY...OERI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
824 AM CST FRI DEC 9 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON DECEMBER 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PLEASE CONTACT NWS TULSA AT (918)832-7838, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.

.DISCUSSION...

CALM WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME LIGHT AND FROM THE SOUTH
TO SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON.

FIRE SPREAD POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE THIS WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY ON
SATURDAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS NE OK SATURDAY
AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS IN THE 30 TO 35 MPH RANGE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER,
FIRE IGNITION POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN LOW DUE TO INCREASING LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE AND THE RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............8.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 900-2800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).29 INCREASING TO 37 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........37  38  40  42  44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............34  36  37  35  32
DEWPOINT........8   7   7   8   8
RH..............33  29  28  32  36
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5   5   5   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5               5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.8 2.7 1.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   8   7   6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3   3   3   3   3
1700FT MIX T(F).34  36  38  38  38

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 22.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............11 INCREASING TO 15 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (200 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).38.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........46  40  35  29  30  30  31  32  34  36  35  35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............29  27  27  26  25  24  24  23  23  23  22  22
DEWPOINT........9   10  10  11  12  12  13  14  14  15  15  16
RH..............42  48  48  52  57  60  62  68  68  71  74  77
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
1700FT MIX T(F).38  38  37  37  38  39  39  40  40  40  40  40

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............18.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1100-2600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5500 KNOT-FT).
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
1700FT AVG MIX T(F).42.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........34  35  35  36  37  37  38  37  36  35  31  27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............23  24  26  29  32  35  38  41  42  43  42  41
DEWPOINT........16  17  17  18  18  18  18  18  19  19  20  20
RH..............74  74  68  63  56  49  44  39  39  38  41  42
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5   6   7   9   11  12  13  13  13  13  14
20 FT WIND GUST.5       10  10  15  15  20  20  20  20  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.6 2.5 2.2 1.8 1.5 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   6   7   9   14  18  22  23  23  23  24  25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6   6   6   6   6   6   8   8   8   8   8   8
1700FT MIX T(F).40  40  40  40  41  42  43  44  45  45  44  43

$$
FORECASTER...HODGES
REQUESTED BY...BRAD BURNS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1604068.1/TSA
.EMAIL FIREBURNS2855@YAHOO.COM



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