Hydrometeorological Discussion
Issued by NWS Middle Atlantic RFC

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AGUS71 KRHA 011529
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1029 AM EST SUN FEB 01 2015

NO PRECIPITATION FELL IN THE BASIN YESTERDAY.

LIGHT SNOW IS SPREADING INTO THE NORTHERN BASIN THIS MORNING. THIS
PRECIPITATION IS LIGHT AND IS BEING PRODUCED BY A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
THAT IS CENTERED ALONG THE MISSOURI/KANSAS BORDER. THE LOW IS FORECAST
TO TRACK ALONG THE COLD FRONT WHICH BEGINS IN NORTHERN MISSOURI...THEN
STRETCHES THROUGH NORTHERN INDIANA AND OHIO BEFORE ENDING IN NORTHERN
PENNSYLVANIA.

THE METEOROLOGICAL MODELS FOR TODAY SHOW THE SYSTEM MOVING A BIT FURTHER
NORTH THAN YESTERDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW WARMER FROM THE SOUTH TO SPREAD
FURTHER NORTH THAN EXPECTED. AS A RESULT...SNOW THAT IS FORECAST TO
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NEW JERSEY WILL CHANGE OVER TO
FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SNOW FOR THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE LARGEST SNOW AMOUNT ARE FORECAST FROM CHICAGO
TO DETROIT/CLEVELAND AND FROM BUFFALO EASTWARD TO ALBANY AND BOSTON. IN
THIS SWATH OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION...SNOW TOTALS COULD RANGE FROM
EIGHT INCHES TO NEARLY 18 INCHES.

THE STORM WILL EXIT THE BASIN OVERNIGHT AND BRING A COUPLE DAYS OF DRY
WEATHER TO THE COMMONWEALTH.




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