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000
AGUS71 KTAR 171536
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1132 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FORMED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ALONG A WEAK STATIONARY BOUNDARY STRETCHED OUT ACROSS WESTERN NEW
AND NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS
RANGED FROM 0.30 TO 0.80 INCHES ACROSS THIS REGION.
:
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. IT
IS FORECAST TO BECOME STATIONARY ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.  AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TODAY WITH THE BULK OF THE ACTIVITY
LIKELY ACROSS INTERIOR NEW YORK STATE AND CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND.  ON TUESDAY...THE FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEAST
NEW YORK.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS WILL RANGE
FROM 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND WITH 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW
YORK AND MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF UP TO
1 INCH BASIN AVERAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSTORMS.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
MINOR FLOODING CONTINUES AT THE CHARLES RIVER AT DOVER, MA. THE
RIVER HAS CRESTED AND IS STARTING TO SLOWLY RECEDE.
:
A FEW OF THE SMALLER RIVERS IN NORTHERN VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE SAW MINOR RISES FROM THE RAIN THAT FELL ON SUNDAY. THE
RIVERS IN THE REST OF THE REGION CONTINUE TO RECEDE, EXCEPT FOR
THOSE LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY TIDES OR RESERVOIR RELEASES.
:
THE RAIN THAT WILL IMPACT THE REGION FROM MONDAY INTO WEDNESDAY IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ONLY MINOR RISES ON THE RIVERS IN NEW YORK
AND NEW ENGLAND.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATERWATCH WEBSITE, 7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS THE NERFC REGION ARE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TO
RECORD HIGH LEVELS FOR THIS PERIOD IN MID-JUNE.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME DURING THE
NEXT FIVE DAYS IN NEW ENGLAND AND NEW YORK.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP.SHTML
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:          DAVID VALLEE
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                   ALISON MACNEIL