Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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000
FXUS01 KWBC 191958
PMDSPD

SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
357 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

VALID 00Z SAT SEP 20 2014 - 00Z MON SEP 22 2014

...HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT NEW MEXICO AND TEXAS...

...ATLANTIC COASTAL LOW TO BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
FLORIDA AND THE EAST COAST...

REMNANT MOISTURE FROM ODILE CONTINUES TO STREAM OVER NEW MEXICO
AND TEXAS.  THIS BOUNTY OF MOISTURE ALONG WITH A STATIONARY FRONT
IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS WILL CONTINUE TO FIRE OFF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THESE REGIONS.  THERE IS CURRENTLY A
MODERATE RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE
BIG BEND/TEXAS PANHANDLE THROUGH SATURDAY.  A SLIGHT RISK OF FLASH
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE NO REST FOR
THE WEARY THIS WEEKEND IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AS PORTIONS OF
OKLAHOMA AND INTO KANSAS WILL RECEIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ALSO.

A WAVE ON THE STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS DRAPED FROM TEXAS ACROSS
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA WILL FORM OVERNIGHT FRIDAY AND INTO
SATURDAY.  THE LOW WILL BEGIN TO MOVE UP THE EAST COAST BY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.  CONVECTION WILL IGNITE ACROSS THE STATE OF
FLORIDA WITH THE HEAVIEST CONCENTRATIONS OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA ON
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. BY SATURDAY EVENING, THE LOW
WILL TRACK UP TOWARDS THE COASTLINE OF THE CAROLINAS.  SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONCENTRATE MAINLY ALONG THE COAST FROM GEORGIA
TO NEW ENGLAND.

A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL TREK EASTWARD
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEKEND.  PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE
HEAVIER AMOUNTS RIGHT ALONG THE BOUNDARY, HOWEVER IT WILL BE QUICK
MOVING SO FLASH FLOODING IS NOT AS MUCH OF A THREAT.  COOLER,
DRIER AIR WILL SWIFTLY MOVE BEHIND THE FRONT IN ADDITION BRINGING
A TASTE OF FALL.

FANNING

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV
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