Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 211124
RECTOP

MORNING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
524 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 509 AM CST SUN DEC 21 2014

SATELLITE CONTINUES TO SHOW MVFR STRATUS ADVANCING NORTHEAST, AND
WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN SOME MOISTURE TRANSPORT
NORTH THINK THE STRATUS WILL HANG TOUGH THROUGH TONIGHT. MODELS
CONTINUE TO SHOW INCREASING ISENTROPIC LIFT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
SO DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE. CONFIDENCE IN TIMING IS LOW SO OPTED TO
KEEP VSBY FORECAST IN THE MVFR RANGE. HOWEVER IF DRIZZLE DEVELOPS,
IT WILL LIKELY CAUSE VSBY TO BE BETWEEN 1SM AND 3SM. HAVE ALSO
LEANED TOWARDS KEEPING CIGS ABOVE 1 KFT BUT THERE COULD BE SOME
PERIODS WHERE CIGS DROP BELOW 1 KFT. INCREASING LARGE SCALE
FORCING LATE TONIGHT SHOULD LEAD TO SOME -RA MOVING INTO THE
TERMINALS BETWEEN 07Z AND 09Z.

.THIS MORNING...
    SUNRISE:                         738 AM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 AM  180/09 MPH
                                     9 AM  180/10 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 502 AM):        200FT  183/13 MPH
                                      400FT  185/17 MPH
                                      600FT  193/20 MPH
                                      800FT  200/22 MPH
                                     1000FT  214/25 MPH
                                     1500FT  216/24 MPH
                                     2000FT  219/25 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):        30FT  196/07 MPH
                                      109FT  198/14 MPH
                                      256FT  200/16 MPH
                                      510FT  204/21 MPH
                                      886FT  209/24 MPH
                                     1378FT  212/25 MPH
                                     1975FT  216/26 MPH
                                     2643FT  225/25 MPH
                                     3391FT  219/21 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):        30FT  189/07 MPH
                                      109FT  193/13 MPH
                                      256FT  195/15 MPH
                                      510FT  202/20 MPH
                                      889FT  211/23 MPH
                                     1382FT  216/24 MPH
                                     1980FT  220/24 MPH
                                     2645FT  229/23 MPH
                                     3393FT  219/21 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):        30FT  192/08 MPH
                                      112FT  195/15 MPH
                                      256FT  197/17 MPH
                                      511FT  205/21 MPH
                                      890FT  211/23 MPH
                                     1382FT  216/24 MPH
                                     1980FT  220/24 MPH
                                     2645FT  229/23 MPH
                                     3393FT  219/21 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 AM  -172 FT
                                     9 AM  -99 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR THIS AFTERNOON...
    SUNSET:         503 PM
    SURFACE WIND:   2 PM  190/14 MPH
                    4 PM  180/13 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$






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