River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FGUS51 KTAR 211531
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1128 AM EDT Tue Oct 21 2014
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.73 ft at Oct-21 11:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     1.8/     1.9
.E2 :1022:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9
.E3 :1023:/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8/     1.8
.E4 :1024:/     1.8/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.10/ 0.15/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.55 ft at Oct-21 11:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     1.6/     1.7
.E2 :1022:/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7
.E3 :1023:/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7
.E4 :1024:/     1.7/     1.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.10/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.18 ft at Oct-21 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     2.3/     2.5
.E2 :1022:/     2.5/     2.7/     2.5/     2.4
.E3 :1023:/     2.2/     2.2/     2.2/     2.1
.E4 :1024:/     2.1/     2.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.16/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 0.85 ft at Oct-21 11:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     0.9/     1.0
.E2 :1022:/     1.2/     1.4/     1.4/     1.3
.E3 :1023:/     1.2/     1.1/     1.1/     1.0
.E4 :1024:/     1.0/     1.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.08/ 0.14/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.28 ft at Oct-21 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     3.3/     3.4
.E2 :1022:/     3.6/     3.9/     3.9/     3.7
.E3 :1023:/     3.5/     3.4/     3.4/     3.4
.E4 :1024:/     3.4/     3.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.13/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.62 ft at Oct-21 11:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     2.8/     3.1
.E2 :1022:/     3.5/     3.6/     3.4/     3.2
.E3 :1023:/     3.0/     2.9/     2.9/     2.8
.E4 :1024:/     2.8/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.14/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.10 ft at Oct-21 11:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     2.2/     2.4
.E2 :1022:/     2.5/     2.5/     2.4/     2.4
.E3 :1023:/     2.3/     2.3/     2.2/     2.2
.E4 :1024:/     2.2/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.10/ 0.11/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.41 ft at Oct-21 10:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     4.6/     4.6
.E2 :1022:/     4.5/     4.7/     4.6/     4.6
.E3 :1023:/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5/     4.4
.E4 :1024:/     4.5/     4.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.02/ 0.20/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.53 ft at Oct-21 11:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     9.5/     9.6
.E2 :1022:/     9.7/    10.0/    10.1/    10.3
.E3 :1023:/    10.4/    10.3/    10.3/    10.1
.E4 :1024:/    10.0/    10.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.20/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.04/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 591.34 ft at Oct-21 11:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/   591.4/   591.4
.E2 :1022:/   591.4/   591.4/   591.4/   591.4
.E3 :1023:/   591.4/   591.4/   591.4/   591.4
.E4 :1024:/   591.4/   591.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.08/ 0.21/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 16.71 ft at Oct-21 11:00 am
:Crest 19.57 at Oct-24810 2am
:
.ER AVON6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/    16.8/    17.0
.E2 :1022:/    17.3/    17.8/    18.1/    18.3
.E3 :1023:/    18.5/    18.7/    19.1/    19.4
.E4 :1024:/    19.6/    19.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.17/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.05/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.52 ft at Oct-21 11:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.7
.E2 :1022:/     2.8/     2.9/     2.9/     2.9
.E3 :1023:/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8/     2.7
.E4 :1024:/     2.7/     2.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.10/ 0.15/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.66 ft at Oct-21 11:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     1.9/     2.1
.E2 :1022:/     2.0/     1.8/     1.9/     2.0
.E3 :1023:/     2.1/     2.1/     2.0/     1.9
.E4 :1024:/     1.8/     1.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.10/ 0.10/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.66 ft at Oct-21 08:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     4.2/     4.3
.E2 :1022:/     4.4/     4.6/     4.7/     4.8
.E3 :1023:/     5.0/     5.1/     5.2/     5.3
.E4 :1024:/     5.4/     5.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.10/ 0.11/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.05/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 0.43 ft at Oct-21 11:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     0.5/     0.6
.E2 :1022:/     0.6/     0.7/     0.7/     0.7
.E3 :1023:/     0.7/     0.7/     0.7/     0.6
.E4 :1024:/     0.6/     0.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.08/ 0.16/ 0.06/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.08/ 0.04/ 0.06/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/   687.3/   687.3
.E2 :1022:/   687.3/   687.3/   687.3/   687.3
.E3 :1023:/   687.3/   687.3/   687.3/   687.4
.E4 :1024:/   687.4/   687.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.14/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.09/ 0.10/ 0.05/ 0.06/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Crest 3.53 at Oct-26810 2am
:
.ER CPNN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     3.3/     3.3
.E2 :1022:/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3
.E3 :1023:/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3/     3.3
.E4 :1024:/     3.3/     3.3
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.97 ft at Oct-21 11:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     5.9/     5.9
.E2 :1022:/     5.9/     5.9/     6.0/     6.0
.E3 :1023:/     6.1/     6.2/     6.3/     6.6
.E4 :1024:/     6.9/     7.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.13/ 0.05/ 0.05/ 0.33/ 0.22/ 0.26/ 0.13/ 0.07/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.70 ft at Oct-21 11:01 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     4.7/     4.8
.E2 :1022:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8/     4.9
.E3 :1023:/     5.0/     5.1/     5.3/     5.6
.E4 :1024:/     5.9/     6.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.16/ 0.06/ 0.05/ 0.27/ 0.21/ 0.31/ 0.14/ 0.07/
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.67 ft at Oct-21 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20141021 E DC201410211128/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :1021:       ::       ::/     6.6/     6.5
.E2 :1022:/     6.4/     6.4/     6.3/     6.2
.E3 :1023:/     6.2/     6.1/     6.1/     6.1
.E4 :1024:/     6.1/     6.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.10/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.18/ 0.10/ 0.26/ 0.12/ 0.07/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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