River Forecast
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237
FGUS56 KRSA 192249
RVFCC

CENTRAL COAST FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
246 PM PLT SUN FEB 19 2017

NEXT ISSUANCE:     SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 19, 2017 AT  9PM PLT

FORECASTS THROUGH: FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 24, 2017 AT  4AM PLT

ATTENTION... THE FOLLOWING STAGES OF PARTICULAR SIGNIFICANCE
             HAVE OCCURRED OR ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR:
FLOOD STAGE
        COYOTE CREEK - EDENVALE (CYEC1) IN 34 HRS

MONITOR STAGE
        PAJARO RIVER - CHITTENDEN (AROC1) IN 25 HRS
        SALINAS RIVER - SPRECKLES (SPRC1) IN 53 HRS
        CARMEL RIVER - ROBLES DEL RIO (RDRC1) IN 39 HRS
        GUADALUPE RIVER - SAN JOSE (GSJC1) IN 30 HRS

***********************************************************************
SPECIAL NOTES-  CNRFC IS IN 24-HR OPERATIONS.
***********************************************************************

RIVER
   LOCATION               STAGE    FLOW      TIME    DATE         LEAD
   (NWSLI)                (FT)     (CFS)     (PT)  (MM/DD/YY)     TIME
--------------------      -----  --------    ----  ----------    ------
PAJARO RIVER         OBS   14.9    2,510 AT   2PM   02/19/17      (24)
   CHITTENDEN        >MS   25.0          BY   4PM   02/20/17 IN  25 HRS
   (AROC1)           >FS   32.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   27.5    9,550 AT  10AM   02/21/17 IN  43 HRS

SALINAS RIVER        OBS   17.7    2,340 AT   2PM   02/19/17      (18)
   PASO ROBLES       >MS   23.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (PRBC1)           >FS   29.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   19.0    3,380 AT   3PM   02/20/17 IN  24 HRS

SALINAS RIVER        OBS    9.3    4,870 AT   2PM   02/19/17      (24)
   BRADLEY           >MS   12.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (BRDC1)           >FS   14.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   10.3    6,590 AT   4AM   02/21/17 IN  37 HRS

SALINAS RIVER        OBS   16.7    6,520 AT   2PM   02/19/17      (24)
   SPRECKLES         >MS   20.0          BY   8PM   02/21/17 IN  53 HRS
   (SPRC1)           >FS   23.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   20.8   12,500 AT   5AM   02/22/17 IN  62 HRS

CARMEL RIVER         OBS    4.7    1,370 AT   2PM   02/19/17      (18)
   ROBLES DEL RIO    >MS    7.5          BY   6AM   02/21/17 IN  39 HRS
   (RDRC1)           >FS    8.5          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX    7.6    4,730 AT   8AM   02/21/17 IN  41 HRS

GUADALUPE RIVER      OBS    3.6      374 AT   2PM   02/19/17      (18)
   ALMADEN EXPRWY    >MS   10.0          NOT EXPECTED
   (GUDC1)           >FS   13.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX    9.2    3,740 AT   4AM   02/20/17 IN  13 HRS

GUADALUPE RIVER      OBS    9.1      929 AT   2PM   02/19/17      (18)
   SAN JOSE          >MS   15.0          BY   9PM   02/20/17 IN  30 HRS
   (GSJC1)           >FS   17.0          NOT EXPECTED
                     MAX   15.2    7,380 AT  11PM   02/20/17 IN  32 HRS

COYOTE CREEK         OBS    8.4    2,050 AT   2PM   02/19/17      (18)
   EDENVALE          >MS    8.0          AT  CURRENT TIME              *
   (CYEC1)           >FS   10.0          BY   1AM   02/21/17 IN  34 HRS
                     MAX   10.9    5,040 AT   4PM   02/21/17 IN  49 HRS

DEFINITIONS:
OBS   MOST RECENT OBSERVATION (MAY BE ESTIMATED)
MS    MONITOR STAGE
FS    FLOOD STAGE
MAX   MAXIMUM FORECAST WITHIN PERIOD
LEAD TIME  FORECASTS WITHIN THIS PERIOD (HOURS) ARE CONSIDERED
           RELIABLE ENOUGH TO INITIATE PHYSICAL MITIGATION EFFORTS.
*     EVENT EXCEEDS MS/FS/DS WITHIN LEAD TIME PERIOD

SIM   02/19/2017 @ 1438P (C)

NOTE:  ALL TIMES IN SHEF ENCODED MESSAGES BELOW ARE UTC

.A  AROC1 20170219 Z DH22/HG   14.9
.ER AROC1 20170219 Z DH23/DC201702192238/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    14.8/  14.8/  14.7/  14.7/  14.6/  14.6/  14.6/  14.6/  14.7/  14.8/
.ER2    15.0/  15.2/  15.5/  16.0/  16.7/  17.7/  18.7/  19.5/  20.2/  20.7/
.ER3    21.4/  22.3/  23.4/  24.0/  24.9/  25.5/  25.8/  26.0/  26.2/  26.3/
.ER4    26.5/  26.6/  26.7/  26.8/  26.9/  27.0/  27.2/  27.2/  27.3/  27.4/
.ER5    27.4/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.5/  27.4/  27.3/  27.2/  27.1/
.ER6    27.0/  26.9/  26.7/  26.6/  26.4/  26.2/  26.1/  25.9/  25.5/  25.3/
.ER7    25.1/  24.9/  24.7/  24.5/  24.3/  24.1/  23.9/  23.7/  23.5/  23.2/
.ER8    22.9/  22.7/  22.6/  22.4/  22.2/  22.0/  21.8/  21.6/  21.4/  21.2/
.ER9    21.0/  20.8/  20.6/  20.4/  20.3/  20.1/  19.9/  19.8/  19.6/  19.4/
.ER10   19.2/  19.1/  18.9/  18.7/  18.6/  18.4/  18.3/  18.1/  18.0/  17.8/
.ER11   17.7/  17.6/  17.4/  17.3/  17.2/  17.1/  17.0/  16.8/  16.7/  16.5/
.A  AROC1 20170220 Z DH23/HIIFE 1

.A  PRBC1 20170219 Z DH22/HG   17.7
.ER PRBC1 20170219 Z DH23/DC201702192238/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    17.6/  17.5/  17.4/  17.3/  17.2/  17.2/  17.1/  17.0/  16.9/  16.9/
.ER2    16.8/  16.8/  16.8/  16.9/  17.0/  17.2/  17.4/  17.7/  17.9/  18.1/
.ER3    18.4/  18.7/  18.9/  19.0/  19.0/  19.0/  19.0/  18.9/  18.8/  18.7/
.ER4    18.5/  18.4/  18.3/  18.1/  18.0/  17.9/  17.8/  17.8/  17.8/  17.8/
.ER5    17.8/  17.8/  17.8/  17.8/  17.9/  17.9/  18.0/  18.0/  18.0/  18.0/
.ER6    18.0/  18.0/  17.9/  17.9/  17.8/  17.7/  17.7/  17.6/  17.5/  17.4/
.ER7    17.3/  17.2/  17.2/  17.1/  17.0/  17.0/  16.9/  16.9/  16.8/  16.8/
.ER8    16.7/  16.7/  16.6/  16.6/  16.5/  16.5/  16.4/  16.4/  16.4/  16.4/
.ER9    16.3/  16.3/  16.3/  16.3/  16.2/  16.2/  16.2/  16.2/  16.1/  16.1/
.ER10   16.0/  16.0/  15.9/  15.9/  15.9/  15.8/  15.8/  15.8/  15.8/  15.7/
.ER11   15.7/  15.7/  15.7/  15.6/  15.6/  15.6/  15.5/  15.5/  15.5/  15.5/

.A  BRDC1 20170219 Z DH22/HG    9.3
.ER BRDC1 20170219 Z DH23/DC201702192238/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     9.3/   9.2/   9.2/   9.1/   9.1/   9.0/   9.0/   9.0/   9.0/   9.0/
.ER2     9.1/   9.1/   9.1/   9.1/   9.1/   9.1/   9.0/   9.0/   9.0/   9.0/
.ER3     9.0/   9.1/   9.1/   9.1/   9.2/   9.2/   9.3/   9.4/   9.5/   9.6/
.ER4     9.7/   9.9/  10.0/  10.1/  10.2/  10.3/  10.3/  10.3/  10.3/  10.3/
.ER5    10.2/  10.2/  10.2/  10.2/  10.1/  10.1/  10.1/  10.1/  10.1/  10.1/
.ER6    10.0/  10.0/  10.0/  10.0/  10.0/  10.0/  10.0/  10.0/   9.9/   9.9/
.ER7     9.9/   9.9/   9.9/   9.9/   9.8/   9.8/   9.8/   9.7/   9.7/   9.6/
.ER8     9.6/   9.5/   9.5/   9.4/   9.4/   9.3/   9.3/   9.3/   9.2/   9.2/
.ER9     9.1/   9.1/   9.1/   9.0/   9.0/   8.9/   8.9/   8.9/   8.8/   8.8/
.ER10    8.8/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.5/
.ER11    8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.4/   8.4/   8.4/   8.4/   8.4/   8.3/   8.3/
.A  BRDC1 20170220 Z DH23/HIIFE 1

.A  SPRC1 20170219 Z DH22/HG   16.7
.ER SPRC1 20170219 Z DH23/DC201702192238/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1    16.7/  16.7/  16.8/  16.7/  16.7/  16.7/  16.6/  16.6/  16.5/  16.5/
.ER2    16.4/  16.4/  16.3/  16.2/  16.2/  16.1/  16.1/  16.0/  16.0/  16.0/
.ER3    15.9/  15.9/  15.9/  15.8/  15.8/  15.7/  15.7/  15.7/  15.6/  15.6/
.ER4    15.6/  15.5/  15.6/  15.6/  15.7/  15.8/  15.8/  15.9/  16.2/  16.7/
.ER5    17.3/  17.9/  18.4/  18.9/  19.3/  19.4/  19.5/  19.5/  19.6/  19.6/
.ER6    19.7/  19.8/  19.9/  20.0/  20.1/  20.2/  20.4/  20.5/  20.6/  20.6/
.ER7    20.7/  20.7/  20.8/  20.7/  20.7/  20.6/  20.5/  20.4/  20.3/  20.2/
.ER8    20.1/  19.9/  19.8/  19.7/  19.5/  19.4/  19.3/  19.2/  19.1/  19.0/
.ER9    18.9/  18.8/  18.8/  18.7/  18.6/  18.5/  18.4/  18.4/  18.3/  18.2/
.ER10   18.1/  18.0/  18.0/  17.9/  17.8/  17.8/  17.7/  17.6/  17.6/  17.5/
.ER11   17.4/  17.4/  17.3/  17.2/  17.2/  17.1/  17.0/  17.0/  16.9/  16.8/

.A  RDRC1 20170219 Z DH22/HG    4.7
.ER RDRC1 20170219 Z DH23/DC201702192238/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     4.6/   4.6/   4.5/   4.5/   4.5/   4.6/   4.7/   4.8/   5.0/   5.2/
.ER2     5.3/   5.5/   5.7/   5.9/   6.1/   6.4/   6.6/   6.7/   6.8/   6.8/
.ER3     6.7/   6.7/   6.6/   6.6/   6.5/   6.4/   6.3/   6.2/   6.2/   6.2/
.ER4     6.3/   6.4/   6.6/   6.8/   6.9/   7.0/   7.1/   7.3/   7.4/   7.5/
.ER5     7.6/   7.6/   7.6/   7.4/   7.2/   7.0/   6.8/   6.6/   6.5/   6.3/
.ER6     6.2/   6.2/   6.1/   6.1/   6.0/   6.0/   5.9/   5.9/   5.8/   5.8/
.ER7     5.8/   5.7/   5.7/   5.7/   5.6/   5.6/   5.6/   5.6/   5.7/   5.7/
.ER8     5.7/   5.7/   5.7/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8/   5.7/
.ER9     5.7/   5.7/   5.6/   5.6/   5.6/   5.6/   5.5/   5.5/   5.5/   5.5/
.ER10    5.5/   5.4/   5.4/   5.4/   5.4/   5.4/   5.3/   5.3/   5.3/   5.3/
.ER11    5.3/   5.3/   5.2/   5.2/   5.2/   5.2/   5.1/   5.1/   5.1/   5.1/

.A  GUDC1 20170219 Z DH22/HG    3.6
.ER GUDC1 20170219 Z DH23/DC201702192238/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.8/   5.2/   6.2/
.ER2     7.0/   7.8/   8.5/   9.2/   9.1/   9.0/   9.0/   8.9/   8.8/   8.8/
.ER3     8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.7/
.ER4     8.7/   8.7/   8.4/   8.1/   7.8/   7.5/   7.1/   6.7/   6.5/   6.3/
.ER5     6.0/   5.7/   5.5/   5.1/   5.0/   4.9/   4.8/   4.7/   4.6/   4.5/
.ER6     4.4/   4.3/   4.3/   4.2/   4.1/   4.1/   4.0/   4.0/   3.9/   3.9/
.ER7     3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/
.ER8     3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.9/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/
.ER9     3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.8/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/
.ER10    3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.7/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/
.ER11    3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5/   3.5/

.A  GSJC1 20170219 Z DH22/HG    9.1
.ER GSJC1 20170219 Z DH23/DC201702192238/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     9.1/   9.2/   9.2/   9.2/   9.4/   9.6/   9.8/   9.9/  10.0/  10.3/
.ER2    11.5/  13.1/  13.7/  14.2/  14.5/  14.5/  14.5/  14.5/  14.5/  14.5/
.ER3    14.4/  14.4/  14.5/  14.5/  14.5/  14.6/  14.6/  14.7/  14.8/  15.0/
.ER4    15.1/  15.2/  15.2/  15.2/  15.1/  14.9/  14.8/  14.7/  14.6/  14.5/
.ER5    14.4/  14.3/  14.2/  14.1/  14.0/  14.0/  13.9/  13.7/  13.6/  13.5/
.ER6    13.4/  13.2/  13.0/  12.9/  12.7/  12.6/  12.4/  12.3/  12.1/  11.9/
.ER7    12.3/  11.9/  11.7/  11.5/  11.4/  11.2/  11.2/  11.1/  11.0/  11.0/
.ER8    10.9/  10.8/  10.7/  10.7/  10.6/  10.5/  10.5/  10.4/  10.3/  10.2/
.ER9    10.2/  10.2/  10.1/  10.1/  10.1/  10.0/  10.0/  10.0/  10.0/   9.9/
.ER10    9.9/   9.9/   9.8/   9.8/   9.8/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/   9.7/
.ER11    9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.5/   9.4/   9.4/

.A  CYEC1 20170219 Z DH22/HG    8.4
.ER CYEC1 20170219 Z DH23/DC201702192238/DUE/HGIFE/DIH01
.ER1     8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/
.ER2     8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.8/   8.8/
.ER3     8.8/   8.9/   8.9/   9.0/   9.0/   9.1/   9.2/   9.3/   9.4/   9.5/
.ER4     9.6/   9.7/   9.8/   9.9/  10.1/  10.2/  10.3/  10.4/  10.5/  10.6/
.ER5    10.6/  10.7/  10.7/  10.8/  10.8/  10.8/  10.9/  10.9/  10.9/  10.9/
.ER6    10.9/  10.9/  10.9/  10.8/  10.8/  10.8/  10.7/  10.7/  10.6/  10.5/
.ER7    10.5/  10.4/  10.4/  10.3/  10.2/  10.2/  10.1/  10.0/  10.0/   9.9/
.ER8     9.8/   9.8/   9.7/   9.7/   9.6/   9.6/   9.6/   9.5/   9.5/   9.4/
.ER9     9.4/   9.3/   9.3/   9.2/   9.2/   9.1/   9.1/   9.1/   9.0/   9.0/
.ER10    8.9/   8.9/   8.9/   8.8/   8.8/   8.8/   8.7/   8.7/   8.7/   8.6/
.ER11    8.6/   8.6/   8.6/   8.5/   8.5/   8.5/   8.4/   8.4/   8.4/   8.4/
.A  CYEC1 20170220 Z DH17/HIIFE 1

END





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