River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 040107
RVFGRN
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:07pm EST Tuesday, March 3, 2015

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs


: Alvaton - Drakes Creek - LMK
: Zero Datum 443.07 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Warren County, KY
: Record River Stage     42.1 ft
: Major River Stage      36.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   29.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      22.0 ft
: Action River Stage     20.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR ALVK2 20150305 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   22.0
: Crest near   22.0 ft around 7AM EST on Thu, Mar 5
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   7.2 /   7.5 /   8.2
:     Mar 03   /   8.7 /   8.8 /   8.7 /   8.6
:     Mar 04   /   8.5
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 8.4 ft at 745pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER ALVK2 20150304 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /   8.8 /  10.3 /  14.4
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  17.7 /  20.3 /  22.0 /  21.4
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  19.7 /  17.5 /  16.3 /  15.1
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  14.1 /  13.2 /  12.4 /  11.8
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  11.2 /  10.7 /  10.3 /   9.9
.E6 : Mar 09 : /   9.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.08
:     Mar 02   /  0.01 /  0.14 /  0.04 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.07
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.16 /  0.39 /  0.43
:     Mar 05   /  0.39 /  0.62 /  0.35 /  0.05
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   2.1 /   1.8 /   4.7
:     Mar 02   /   8.5 /   4.2 /   0.3 /   0.8
:     Mar 03   /   6.3 /   3.0 /   3.9 /   9.2
:     Mar 04   /  15.8 /  15.2 /  11.6 /   4.9
:     Mar 05   /   1.4 /  -1.8 /  -4.8 /  -6.2
:     Mar 06   /  -5.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Munfordville - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 451.7 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Hart County, KY
: Record River Stage     57.7 ft
: Major River Stage      57.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   50.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      28.0 ft
: Action River Stage     26.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR MFVK2 20150306 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest:   26.0
: Crest near   26.0 ft around 7AM EST on Fri, Mar 6
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /   7.3 /   6.6 /   7.0
:     Mar 03   /   8.6 /   9.9 /  10.5 /  12.1
:     Mar 04   /  13.7
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 13.7 ft at 700pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER MFVK2 20150304 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  14.5 /  14.4 /  14.5
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  15.1 /  16.7 /  18.9 /  21.8
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  24.5 /  25.6 /  26.0 /  25.9
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  25.0 /  23.7 /  22.3 /  20.6
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  18.9 /  17.2 /  15.5 /  14.7
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  13.9
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.12
:     Mar 02   /  0.02 /  0.10 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.02
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.20 /  0.50 /  0.53
:     Mar 05   /  0.36 /  0.62 /  0.36 /  0.05
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   1.2 /   1.6 /   3.6
:     Mar 02   /   7.0 /   3.9 /   0.2 /   0.2
:     Mar 03   /   4.8 /   0.5 /   1.5 /   7.7
:     Mar 04   /  15.4 /  14.2 /  10.2 /   4.8
:     Mar 05   /   1.3 /  -2.3 /  -5.9 /  -6.7
:     Mar 06   /  -5.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Brownsville - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 413.03 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Edmonson County, KY
: Record River Stage     44.9 ft
: Major River Stage      41.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   32.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      18.0 ft
: Action River Stage     16.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 1PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
.AR BRNK2 20150306 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFFX :crest:   18.0
: Crest near   18.0 ft around 1PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
: Fall below flood level around 1PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  13.0 /  12.6 /  12.3
:     Mar 03   /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.4 /  12.7
:     Mar 04   /  12.8
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 12.8 ft at 745pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER BRNK2 20150304 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  13.3 /  13.4 /  14.1
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  15.3 /  16.0 /  16.2 /  16.4
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  16.7 /  17.4 /  17.6 /  18.0
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  17.9 /  17.7 /  17.4 /  17.2
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  16.8 /  16.3 /  15.7 /  15.5
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  15.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.12
:     Mar 02   /  0.01 /  0.09 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.05
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.22 /  0.54 /  0.54
:     Mar 05   /  0.37 /  0.63 /  0.33 /  0.04
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   1.2 /   1.8 /   3.5
:     Mar 02   /   6.7 /   3.0 /  -0.2 /   0.1
:     Mar 03   /   5.2 /   1.2 /   1.9 /   8.1
:     Mar 04   /  15.6 /  14.2 /   9.7 /   4.4
:     Mar 05   /   0.9 /  -2.7 /  -6.1 /  -6.7
:     Mar 06   /  -5.8
:____________________________________________________________________

: Woodbury - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 373.13 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Butler County, KY
: Record Tailwater Stage     58.9 ft
: Major Tailwater Stage      48.0 ft
: Moderate Tailwater Stage   45.0 ft
: Flood Tailwater Stage      33.0 ft
: Action Tailwater Stage     31.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood tailwater stage around 1AM EST on Fri, Mar 6
.AR WDBK2 20150306 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH18/HTIFFX :crest:   33.6
: Crest near   33.6 ft around 1PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
: Fall below flood level around 7AM EST on Sat, Mar 7
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  21.4E/  21.3E/  20.9E
:     Mar 03   /  20.6E/  20.4E/  20.3E/  20.4E
:     Mar 04   /  20.7E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Tailwater Stage MISSING
:
.ER WDBK2 20150304 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH06/HTIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  21.1 /  21.9 /  23.2
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  25.1 /  27.3 /  29.3 /  31.0
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  32.2 /  33.0 /  33.4 /  33.6
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  33.6 /  33.4 /  33.0 /  32.6
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  32.1 /  31.6 /  31.0 /  30.4
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  29.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.12
:     Mar 02   /  0.01 /  0.08 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.06
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.25 /  0.57 /  0.54
:     Mar 05   /  0.37 /  0.63 /  0.30 /  0.03
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   1.7 /   1.9 /   3.2
:     Mar 02   /   6.2 /   2.1 /  -0.5 /  -0.1
:     Mar 03   /   5.6 /   3.1 /   2.9 /   8.6
:     Mar 04   /  16.4 /  14.3 /   8.9 /   3.7
:     Mar 05   /   0.0 /  -3.3 /  -6.2 /  -6.8
:     Mar 06   /  -6.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Rochester Ferry - Green River - LMK
: Zero Datum 372.6 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Ohio County, KY
: Record River Stage     41.6 ft
: Major River Stage      30.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   25.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      17.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 3PM EST on Fri, Mar 6
.AR RCHK2 20150308 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   17.8
: Crest near   17.8 ft around 1AM EST on Sun, Mar 8
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  14.2E/  14.1 /  14.0E
:     Mar 03   /  14.0E/  13.9E/  13.8E/  13.7E
:     Mar 04   /  13.6E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER RCHK2 20150304 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  13.6 /  13.7 /  13.8
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  14.0 /  14.3 /  14.8 /  15.2
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  15.7 /  16.2 /  16.5 /  16.9
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  17.2 /  17.4 /  17.6 /  17.8
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  17.8 /  17.8 /  17.8 /  17.7
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  17.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.12
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.05 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.35 /  0.66 /  0.55
:     Mar 05   /  0.37 /  0.61 /  0.27 /  0.02
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   1.7 /   1.6 /   2.4
:     Mar 02   /   4.2 /   1.0 /  -1.4 /  -1.0
:     Mar 03   /   4.2 /   2.1 /   2.1 /   7.3
:     Mar 04   /  16.8 /  13.2 /   7.3 /   2.5
:     Mar 05   /  -0.9 /  -4.2 /  -6.8 /  -7.2
:     Mar 06   /  -6.4
:____________________________________________________________________

: Paradise - Green River - PAH
: Zero Datum 363.19 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Muhlenberg County, KY
: Record River Stage    403.7 ft
: Major River Stage     400.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage  386.0 ft
: Flood River Stage     380.0 ft
: Action River Stage    378.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 6PM EST on Thu, Mar 5
.AR PRDK2 20150307 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFFX :crest:  381.9
: Crest near  381.9 ft around 1PM EST on Sat, Mar 7
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           / 376.0 / 375.9 / 375.8
:     Mar 03   / 375.6 / 375.6 / 375.4 / 375.2
:     Mar 04   / 375.2
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 375.2 ft at 715pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER PRDK2 20150304 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         / 375.2 / 375.6 / 376.2
.E2 : Mar 05 : / 377.1 / 377.9 / 378.8 / 379.6
.E3 : Mar 06 : / 380.1 / 380.6 / 381.0 / 381.3
.E4 : Mar 07 : / 381.6 / 381.7 / 381.9 / 381.9
.E5 : Mar 08 : / 381.9 / 381.8 / 381.7 / 381.6
.E6 : Mar 09 : / 381.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.10
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.08 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Mar 04   /  0.02
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.28 /  0.60 /  0.55
:     Mar 05   /  0.38 /  0.64 /  0.28 /  0.02
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   1.7 /   1.6 /   2.6
:     Mar 02   /   4.7 /   1.0 /  -1.2 /  -0.7
:     Mar 03   /   4.2 /   1.6 /   2.3 /   7.5
:     Mar 04   /  16.7 /  13.8 /   7.9 /   2.8
:     Mar 05   /  -0.3 /  -3.5 /  -6.3 /  -7.1
:     Mar 06   /  -6.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Dundee - Rough River - LMK
: Zero Datum 393.18 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Ohio County, KY
: Record River Stage     31.8 ft
: Major River Stage      30.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   28.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      25.0 ft
: Action River Stage     23.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR DUNK2 20150305 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:   24.8
: Crest near   24.8 ft around 7PM EST on Wed, Mar 4
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  10.0 /  11.1 /  11.7
:     Mar 03   /  11.9 /  12.3 /  12.7 /  12.8
:     Mar 04   /  12.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 12.9 ft at 745pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER DUNK2 20150304 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  14.1 /  18.3 /  22.9
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  24.8 /  24.6 /  22.8 /  21.6
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  20.6 /  19.8 /  19.0 /  18.2
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  17.4 /  16.7 /  15.9 /  15.3
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  14.8 /  14.3 /  13.8 /  13.4
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  13.0
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.04 /  0.14
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.04
:     Mar 04   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.61 /  0.83 /  0.51
:     Mar 05   /  0.36 /  0.54 /  0.24 /  0.02
:     Mar 06   /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   1.2 /   0.4 /   2.1
:     Mar 02   /   3.5 /   0.9 /  -1.7 /  -1.1
:     Mar 03   /   4.7 /   1.8 /   1.5 /   6.4
:     Mar 04   /  15.4 /  11.5 /   5.8 /   1.6
:     Mar 05   /  -1.6 /  -5.0 /  -7.7 /  -7.8
:     Mar 06   /  -7.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Calhoun - Green River - PAH
: Zero Datum 353.95 ft (NGVD 1929)
: McLean County, KY
: Record Pool Stage     43.8 ft
: Major Pool Stage      32.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   26.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     18.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 02           /  15.5 /  15.5 /  15.5
:     Mar 03   /  15.5 /  15.5 /  15.4 /  15.4
:     Mar 04   /  15.4
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 15.4 ft at 700pm EST on Tue, Mar 3
:
.ER CALK2 20150304 Z DC201503040107/DUE/DQG/DH06/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Mar 04 :         /  15.4 /  15.7 /  15.9
.E2 : Mar 05 : /  15.9 /  16.4 /  16.6 /  16.8
.E3 : Mar 06 : /  16.9 /  17.2 /  17.5 /  17.8
.E4 : Mar 07 : /  18.1 /  18.5 /  18.8 /  19.0
.E5 : Mar 08 : /  19.2 /  19.4 /  19.5 /  19.6
.E6 : Mar 09 : /  19.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /  0.00 /  0.06 /  0.13
:     Mar 02   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Mar 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Mar 04   /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 04           /  0.67 /  0.88 /  0.46
:     Mar 05   /  0.37 /  0.50 /  0.20 /  0.01
:     Mar 06   /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Mar 01           /   1.5 /   0.6 /   1.5
:     Mar 02   /   3.2 /   0.9 /  -1.9 /  -1.1
:     Mar 03   /   4.7 /   2.7 /   2.6 /   6.1
:     Mar 04   /  13.9 /   9.6 /   5.1 /   1.4
:     Mar 05   /  -0.8 /  -4.0 /  -6.8 /  -7.7
:     Mar 06   /  -6.9
:____________________________________________________________________

$$
: Mark J Fenbers
:...END of MESSAGE...




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