Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 010551
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/01/15 0550Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13       0530Z             JANKOT
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LOCATION...MISSOURI...IOWA...KANSAS...NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...LSX...SGF...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...
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NESDIS IS CONTINUING TO ACCEPT APPEALS ON THE RETIREMENT OF THE SPENES
PRODUCT.  APPEALS CAN BE SUBMITTED BY EMAILING JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
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EVENT...DEVELOPING HEAVY RAIN THREAT IN NW AND CENTRAL  MO
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY DEPICTS A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL FEATURES THAT MAY INCREASE UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT TO
INDUCE INCREASED LIFT NEXT FEW HOURS. GOES-E WATER VAPOR CHANNEL CURRENTLY
PLACES ONE SHORT WAVE MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN MN AND AN ADDITIONAL MORE
POTENT SHORT WAVE IN ND AND WOULD EXPECT THESE FEATURES TO INCREASE
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE NEXT 3 HOURS. SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A COLD FRONT
BOUNDARY ACROSS CENTRAL MO THAT MAY SERVE AS A FOCAL POINT FOR CONVECTION
TO DEVELOP ON AND SPC MESOANALYSIS ALSO INDICATES INCREASED INSTABILITY
ACROSS SW MO WITH BEST CAPES AS HIGH AS 2000-3000 J/KG. AT THIS TIME
VWP`S SHOW 85H FLOW/LLJ AROUND 30 KNOTS OUT OF THE SW HELPING ADVECT
MOISTURE INTO DISCUSSION REGION WITH BLENDED TPW PRODUCT INDICATING PWATS
OF 1.7-1.8" POOLING ACROSS REGION.  IN CONSULTATION WITH WPC METWATCH
WOULD EXPECT CONVECTION TO BE ON THE INCREASE NEXT FEW HOURS IN NW AND
CENTRAL MO WHERE RECENT IR IMAGERY HAS SHOWN A FEW CLUSTERS BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP. GIVEN DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE WOULD EXPECT RATES IN DEEPEST
CONVECTION AS HIGH AS 1-2"/HR.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
.
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0600-0900Z...MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...GENERALLY EXPECT CONVECTION TO BE ON THE INCREASE
IN NW AND CENTRAL MO FOR REASONS DISCUSSED ABOVE. WOULD EXPECT POSSIBLE
TRAINING AND RATES OF 1-2"/HR WITH A GENERAL SSE MOVEMENT OF HEAVY RAIN
AXIS. WITH 3HR FFG AT OR JUST UNDER 2.0" THE REGION SHOULD BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR FF ISSUES.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4138 9507 3907 9171 3700 9204 3727 9358 3951 9528
4050 9611
.
NNNN


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