Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 221211
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221211
SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-221415-

Mesoscale Discussion 0107
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0611 AM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

Areas affected...Southern GA...extreme southeast AL...and part of
the FL Panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 19...

Valid 221211Z - 221415Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 19 continues.

SUMMARY...Severe weather -- including a continued tornado potential
-- continues across WW 19.

The northwest quadrant of WW 19 is expected to have a continued lull
in thunderstorm development until about 15Z, at which time newly
developing strong to severe storms should be moving into this region
from the west/southwest.

DISCUSSION...At 1140Z, mosaic radar imagery showed a corridor of
strong to severe storms extending from the northeast corner of WW 19
in southeast GA to central and eastern parts of the FL Panhandle,
with additional storms developing between this axis of storms and
the warm front. Early morning surface analysis showed an area of low
pressure near EUF (Eufaula, AL), with a warm front extending east
through the northern part of WW 19 in southern GA.  An influx of
moisture-rich air has spread north overnight into southern GA, with
surface dew points in the upper 60s to 70 F located along and south
of the aforementioned axis of strong to severe storms.  The
combination of effective bulk shear at or above 50 kt and mucape of
750-1500 J/kg will continue to support organized storms, while
effective SRH of 300-600 m2/s2 favors a continued tornado threat.

..Peters.. 01/22/2017

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...FFC...TAE...

LAT...LON   30218398 30128492 30468528 31608509 31728469 32248319
            32528134 32058092 30668148 30448181 30328219 30268326
            30218398



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