Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 221532
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 221531
MAZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-221730-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0768
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1031 AM CDT WED MAY 22 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN NY INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND....NERN PA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 221531Z - 221730Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

SUMMARY...STORMS SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE WITH MAINLY A HAIL
THREAT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...A WARM AIR MASS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NEWD INTO SRN
NEW ENGLAND WITH CONTINUED HEATING...CREATING SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
FOR A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. 12Z ALB SOUNDING SHOWS MODERATELY
STRONG FLOW AND A SUFFICIENTLY LONG HODOGRAPH FOR A FEW LONG LIVED
STORMS CAPABLE MAINLY OF HAIL. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE LIKELY.
WHILE DEVELOPMENT MAY BE DISORGANIZED...COVERAGE MAY WARRANT A
WATCH.

..JEWELL/KERR.. 05/22/2013

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...

LAT...LON   41007524 41347621 41977635 42467639 43107612 43657555
            44037471 44027358 43767292 43287264 42577262 42097301
            41677339 41187421 41007524
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