Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 132219
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132218
PAZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-132345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1360
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0518 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/UPPER OH VALLEY AND CNTRL APPALACHIANS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 413...

VALID 132218Z - 132345Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 413
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS HAS BECOME MARGINAL/LOCALIZED
WITHIN/NEAR REMAINING PORTION OF WW 413. WITH OVERALL INTENSITY NOT
EXPECTED TO APPRECIABLY INCREASE THIS EVENING...ADDITIONAL WW
ISSUANCE BEYOND 00Z SCHEDULED EXPIRATION DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY.

DISCUSSION...BROKEN CLUSTERS OF TSTMS FROM S IND/OH TO N WV LARGELY
APPEAR MODERATE TO STRONG IN INTENSITY. GENERAL ORIENTATION OF THE
CLUSTERS HAS ALIGNED INTO BROKEN W/E BANDS...PARALLELING THE
DEEP-LAYER WLY FLOW. 3 KM AGL WINDS HAVE WEAKENED IN THE PAST FEW
HOURS IN ILN VWP DATA...AND ARE NOT PROGGED TO INCREASE THIS
EVENING. ALTHOUGH A DOWNBURST OR TWO COULD OCCUR...OVERALL
MODE/ORIENTATION/SHEAR DO NOT APPEAR SUPPORTIVE OF A STRENGTHENING
COLD POOL TO WARRANT ADDITIONAL WW ISSUANCE.

..GRAMS.. 07/13/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...IND...

LAT...LON   40687935 39237968 38728000 38518054 38258255 37878449
            38038525 38318627 38638637 39178616 39508489 39868368
            40208184 40797998 40687935



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