Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 210848
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
448 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

.DISCUSSION...

A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OF WARM AND MORE HUMID AIR WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE REGION FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK...WHILE A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALSO
STALLS OUT ACROSS NEW YORK STATE AND SETS THE STAGE FOR PERIODIC
ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE MORE UNSETTLED CONDITIONS
WILL LAST THROUGH THURSDAY...BEFORE A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA
AND USHERS IN COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND
THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-212115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
448 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           60           60
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       85           63           84
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  9                     SW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  9        SW  7        SW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.20         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                     2            5            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     1 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               52           88           40
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7030           70         8320
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 14        SW 15        SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               98420         1050       149760
DISPERSION INDEX                   98            1          150
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-212115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
448 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           60           60
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       84           62           86
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                     SW  9
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  9        SW  7        SW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.16         0.17
PRECIP DURATION                     2            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN                     1 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               52           89           37
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3
LAL                                 4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7000           70         9230
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 17        SW 16        SW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              119000         1120       203060
DISPERSION INDEX                  119            1          203
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-212115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
448 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           60           60
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       86           63           86
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  6                     SW  9
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  5      LGT/VAR        SW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.13         0.25         0.15
PRECIP DURATION                     3            8            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49           90           38
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7150           70         8740
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  8        SW  9        SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               57200          630       122360
DISPERSION INDEX                   57            1          122
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-212115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
448 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           70           70
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       82           61           79
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  5                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SW 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.13         0.38         0.27
PRECIP DURATION                     3            8            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               55           95           48
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5150           70         5580
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W  4         S  4        SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               20600          280        78120
DISPERSION INDEX                   21            0           78
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$
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