317
FNUS53 KAPX 081941
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
341 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

...Cooler with another shot of rain Friday night into Saturday...

.DISCUSSION...
Generally quiet into Thursday although there will be light showers
hanging around, especially southern portions of the area.
Temperatures will be cooler as well area wide. Another shot for
showers will exist Friday night into Saturday favoring areas
southwest of Gaylord. Winds will be generally 5 to 15 mph out of
the north and west through Saturday, then southerly Sunday into
next week as temperatures warm. A couple of days will see min
humidity in the 30s, Friday and Sunday, otherwise generally in the
40s and 50s.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-090845-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
341 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 50-55 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (678).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 1 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (26).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent...except 43-48 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (493).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-090845-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
341 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....40-45.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (25).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....55-60...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (628).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min Temperature.....38-43.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........87-92 percent...except 77-82 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (42).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64...except 49-54 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (622).
Mixing Height.......6300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-090845-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
341 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....57-62...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (622).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except around 50 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (461).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-090845-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
341 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....42-47.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 1200, then scattered rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....57-62.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler...except unchanged near the
                    coast.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (693).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers until 2400. Patchy frost after 2400.
Min Temperature.....36-41.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........89-94 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....58-63...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 45-50 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (525).
Mixing Height.......5600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-090845-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
341 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....41-46.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (28).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 1200Scattered rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....55-60.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northeast winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (836).
Mixing Height.......5300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....39-44.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy frost
                    until 1200.
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (728).
Mixing Height.......7100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

JLD