Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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FNUS71 KBTV 082024
FWSBTV

Spot Forecast for Ranger School RX...NYS DEC
National Weather Service Burlington VT
424 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 EDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Scattered showers with some isolated embedded thunderstorms will
continue this afternoon. The area has picked up between 0.1 and
0.2 inch of rain so far today, with an additional 0.1 to 0.3 inch
expected over the next few hours. Some gusty winds of variable
directions up to 40 mph are possible within and around
thunderstorms. The thunderstorm risk will come to an end after 7
PM this evening. Overnight, residual light showers will diminish
into drizzle, fog, and mist. Thursday will be cooler and partly to
mostly cloudy, with periods of drizzle continuing. Winds tonight
will be from the north/northwest between 5 and 10 mph, becoming
northeast between 5 and 10 mph during the day on Thursday.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers in the
                    evening, then slight chance of rain showers and
                    drizzle overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
LAL.................1 after 2000.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 7 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    north 6 to 7 mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 18 mph shifting to the north 8 to 12
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........89     90     94     92     94     94
Weather cov.....DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR DRZL
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).80     50     40     20     20     20
LAL.............M      1      M      M      1      M
Temp............54     48     46     46     46     45
RH..............83     100    100    96     93     93
20 ft wind......W 10   NW 9   NW 7   N 6    N 6    N 6
20 ft wind gust.20     12     12     9      12     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1600   1100   800    1100   1300   1300
Transport wind..W 18   NW 14  N 10   N 9    N 9    N 10
Haines index....3      3      3      3      2      2

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    drizzle early in the morning. Slight chance of
                    drizzle early in the afternoon, then slight
                    chance of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 after 0800.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 12 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........92     79     77     69     77     80
Weather cov.....S CHC                       S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....DRZL   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     10     10     20     20
LAL.............M      1      M      M      1      M
Temp............44     48     53     56     58     59
RH..............96     86     69     64     55     53
20 ft wind......N 6    NE 7   NE 6   NE 7   NE 7   NE 7
20 ft wind gust.9      9      10     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   1500   2500   3600   4100   4000
Transport wind..N 8    N 12   NE 10  NE 10  NE 10  N 9
Haines index....2      3      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Duell
Requested by...Aimee Bills
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413525.0/BTV
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Aimee.bills@dec.ny.gov