Spot Forecast Issued by NWS State College, PA
000
FNUS71 KCTP 151911
FWSCTP
Spot Forecast for David Felix...PA-DCNR Bald Eagle State Forest
National Weather Service State College PA
311 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 EDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.
.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather today will continue through Tuesday with mild
temperatures. MinRH this afternoon is forecast to drop into the
30-40% range, with lower minRH expected 25-35% Tuesday afternoon.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 69.
Min Humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 10 mph with gusts to
around 18 mph.
Mixing Height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West around 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................52.
TIME (EDT) 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)........... 24 21
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL............... 1 1
Temp.............. 68 67
RH................ 39 37
20 FT Wind Dir.... NW NW
20 FT Wind Spd.... 10 10
20 FT Wind Gust... 18 18
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 4.7 4.7
Transp Wind Dir... W W
Transp Wind Spd... 17 17
LVORI............. 1 1
ADI............... 52 52
Haines Index...... 4 4
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 40.
Max Humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph with gusts to around
17 mph in the evening becoming light.
Mixing Height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North 8 to 17 mph shifting to the northwest 6
to 7 mph overnight.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 to 12.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)........... 18 15 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 9 13 16
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp.............. 65 62 55 53 51 49 47 45 44 43 41 41
RH................ 38 41 51 50 52 54 60 62 65 67 73 73
20 FT Wind Dir.... NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT Wind Spd.... 9 8 6 6 6 5 5 4 3 3 3 3
20 FT Wind Gust... 17 16 12 11 10 10 7 7 6 6 6 5
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 3.4 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
Transp Wind Dir... NW NW NW N N N N N N NW NW NW
Transp Wind Spd... 17 13 13 13 12 13 9 8 7 6 7 6
LVORI............. 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI............... 12 12 12 8 8 8 4 4 4 3 3 3
Haines Index...... 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3
.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 67.
Min Humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 5 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 to 42.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)........... 20 24 27 27 28 28 29 29 30 34 39 44
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL............... 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp.............. 41 41 45 49 54 59 61 63 65 65 65 66
RH................ 73 76 68 63 52 42 39 36 33 33 33 30
20 FT Wind Dir.... NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W W
20 FT Wind Spd.... 3 3 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT Wind Gust... 5 5 5 5 6 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Mix Hgt (kft)..... 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.6 2.8 3.7 4.1 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.3
Transp Wind Dir... NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W
Transp Wind Spd... 6 5 6 8 13 13 13 14 14 13 10 9
LVORI............. 3 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
ADI............... 4 4 4 33 33 33 42 42 42 38 38 38
Haines Index...... 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
$$
Forecaster...NPB
Requested by...David Felix
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410974.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dafelix@pa.gov