Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 261129
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for A-33...DMVA
National Weather Service State College PA
729 AM EDT Tue Mar 26 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 26.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will maintain dry weather across the district through
this morning. Periods of rain showers will track from west to east across
Central PA this afternoon through Wednesday night.

Good RH recovery has occurred since Monday afternoon and will continue
tonight through Wednesday with Min RH values mostly in the 50s to
lower 60s.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 49.
Min Humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing Height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 8 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................14 to 24.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  83  86  88  69  71  72  74  76  78  80
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  33  36  38  40  43  45  47  48  48  49
RH................  72  69  67  67  65  62  65  63  63  63
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   6   6   6   6   5   6   6   6   7
20 FT Wind Gust...  12  11  11  10  10  8   8   10  11  12
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.8 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.7
Transp Wind Dir...  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  13  13  12  8   8   8   8   9   12  14
LVORI.............  3   3   3   3   2   2   3   2   2   2
ADI...............  14  18  18  18  14  14  14  24  24  24
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers late in the evening. Chance of rain
                    showers overnight.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 40.
Max Humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing Height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 7 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................8 to 15.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  82  84  87  89  89  91  93  92  93  93  93  95
Weather Cov.......                  SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather Type......                  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  48  47  46  46  45  44  44  43  42  42  42  42
RH................  65  71  71  71  76  76  79  79  82  86  89  89
20 FT Wind Dir....  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  7   6   7   6   6   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT Wind Gust...  11  11  11  12  11  11  10  10  10  8   7   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  1.4 1.1 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.6
Transp Wind Dir...  SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  14  14  12  12  14  12  13  13  12  12  9   7
LVORI.............  3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5
ADI...............  15  15  15  12  12  12  11  11  11  8   8   8
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   2

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 51.
Min Humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 7 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................9 to 12.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  94  95  95  94  93  93  91  87  83  81  79  77
Weather Cov.......  CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather Type......  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  42  42  41  43  44  45  47  48  49  50  51  51
RH................  89  89  89  86  86  83  79  77  77  74  74  74
20 FT Wind Dir....  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   4   4   4   4   4   5   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   6   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3
Transp Wind Dir...  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8
LVORI.............  5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
ADI...............  9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  12  12  12
Haines Index......  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...DeVoir
Requested by...Jon-Dimitri Lambrinos
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408445.0/CTP
.DELDT 03/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jolambrino@pa.gov


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