Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 122000

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
300 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2015

Issued at 300 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2015

Fire weather danger will decrease later this evening as winds
slacken and temperatures begin cooling down. The very dry air mass
that has moved into the region will allow for cooler temperatures
tonight. But there will be still be some mixing as winds won`t
completely decouple. This should keep us from dropping into the 30s
given the very dry air.

Through the week, we`ll remain in a northwesterly flow regime with
the dry air mass holding firm. There remains a small chance for
precipitation Thursday night as another front slides through the
area. But with how dry the area is and is expected to be, the chance
looks lower than with yesterday`s forecast. Overall, temperatures
will remain mild during the day time hours with above normal
temperatures expected. With the dry air in place, temperatures
should drop off relatively quickly after sunset leading to chilly
overnight values, though still relatively close to normal. Saturday
morning however, looks to be the coldest so far this fall as lows should
fall into the 30s across much of the forecast area. Very dry air
should settle into the region with high pressure building in. Overall
it looks like ideal radiational cooling should occur leading to those
cool overnight lows. Temperatures this low should also result in
potentially widespread frost, especially across northern Missouri
where temperatures will be coldest.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1210 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2015

VFR conditions are expected through the period. Strong and gusty
northwest winds will diminish this evening. Only a few high level
clouds are expected through the forecast.


.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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