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000
FXUS64 KEWX 111109
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
609 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 153 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

Upper ridging will move over the Southern Plains today and Friday.
At the surface, high pressure begins to move towards South Central
Texas through the late afternoon, eventually settling east over the
Gulf on Friday. These conditions will lead to relatively quiet
weather in the short term period. This afternoon, winds will be much
later than those seen yesterday with clear skies persisting. Highs
range from the upper 70s to low 80s in the eastern half of the area
to the low to upper 80s further west. Good radiational cooling will
dip lows into the 50s tonight. On Friday, winds become southerly in
the morning hours which will allow afternoon highs to increase by
roughly 1 to 3 degrees from those seen today. Some high clouds are
expected during the daytime hours areawide, with increasing
cloudiness along the Rio Grande during the late afternoon. Dry
conditions combined with gusty southerly wind will bring near
critical to critical fire danger in the far west Friday afternoon
and early evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 153 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

Texas remains under ridging to a zonal flow pattern aloft through
this weekend. Moderate south to southeasterly winds will return at
the surface and in the lower levels as surface high pressure slides
to the east. This yields to a gradual moisture recovery with some
increasing cloud cover. Temperatures are also expected to warm with
overnight lows returning into the 60s while the afternoon highs
climb to the mid to upper 80s for most and into the mid 90s closer
to the Rio Grande. The flow aloft becomes more southwesterly through
early next week as an upper level trough pivots northeastward from
the Desert Southwest into the Central Plains. This weather system
with the northward trajectory looks to have less impact to our
region compared to our most recent storm system. However, it may
still provide a slight chance of rain/convection from Monday night
into early Tuesday as a front approaches/interacts with the dryline
boundary. The boundary retreats Tuesday night with a humid south-
southeasterly low-level flow returning across the region. These
southerly winds promote a warmer and humid middle of next week as
afternoon highs likely approach or reach into the low 90s across
portions of the I-35 corridor. Low end rain/storm chances could
return into next Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours with mostly clear
skies across South Central Texas. Winds will remain at or below 12
knots today, shifting throughout the day. At I-35 sites, NW winds
shift from the N after 18Z, and then become easterly after 00Z. At
DRT, NW winds quickly shift from the SE after 18Z and remaining that
way the rest of the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              80  54  82  58 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  80  51  81  55 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     81  52  82  57 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            77  53  80  58 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           88  57  88  64 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        78  52  80  57 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             85  50  85  57 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        81  51  82  55 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   77  53  80  54 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       81  54  83  59 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           83  54  83  59 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...27
Long-Term...Brady
Aviation...27