Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 231943
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
343 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

...More cold and dry air on the way...

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered evening showers and storms will give way to clearing
skies on Wednesday as more cold and dry air pours in behind a
passing cold front. Widespread freezing temperatures are likely
on Wednesday night with high pressure settling overhead before
temperatures moderate for the end of the week. Warmer and more
humid conditions arrive for the weekend, with a few rounds of
showers and storms possible.

MIZ037>039-043>045-240815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
343 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....28-33.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....690-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........35-40 percent near Lake Michigan and 19-24
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 22
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......North winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5000-5500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Widespread frost
                    after 4 AM.
Min temperature.....23-28.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 600-1100 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2900-3400 ft AGL decreasing to 300-800
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....80-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-41 percent near Lake Michigan and 22-27
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 4
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6000-6500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....380-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-240815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
343 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 PM, then a slight chance of rain
                    showers until 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....29-34.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-460 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.12 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 50.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-570 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Widespread frost after 3
                    AM.
Min temperature.....22-27.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL decreasing to 200-700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........22-27 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....300-460 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-240815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
343 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 12 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight. Gusts up to 23 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....430-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4800-5300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....490-500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Areas of frost
                    after 12 AM until 2 AM, then widespread frost
                    until 5 AM.
Min temperature.....28-33.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1900-2400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....60-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5300-5800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-240815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
343 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 PM, then a slight chance of rain
                    showers until 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 36.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds around 12 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....340-440 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.17 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....580-590 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Widespread frost
                    after 4 AM.
Min temperature.....Around 28.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........67-72 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-210 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-510 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-240815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
343 PM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of rain
                    showers until 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 11 mph shifting to the
                    northwest overnight. Gusts up to 21 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph shifting to the northwest
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....180-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.21 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....590 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Widespread frost
                    after 3 AM.
Min temperature.....26-31.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-180 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26-31 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-450 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in
the mid 60s. Southeast winds 14 to 19 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Warmer. Cloudy with showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Southeast winds 17 to 22 mph.
.SATURDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. Showers likely until midday, then
a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 70s. South
winds 20 to 25 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely overnight.
Lows around 60. Southwest winds 17 to 22 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the mid 70s.
Southwest winds 16 to 21 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
60s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Chance of showers in the
evening. Lows in the upper 40s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.

$$
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