Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
214
FNUS52 KILM 092003
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
403 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Showers taper off this evening, with muggy low temperatures
settling in. Several rounds of rain and thunderstorms expected
midday Friday through the afternoon. Some storms could be strong
or severe. High pressure with near normal temps and lower daytime
RH will dominate this weekend into early next week.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-101215-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
403 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 70 60 0
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
LAL 1 3 3 1
Min/Max Temp 66 85 54 77
Max/Min RH (%) 97 57 90 29
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G19 W 5 W 6 N 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 6 SW 7 NW 7 G17 NW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.29 0.34 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0800 1900 58/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 5 3 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 7100
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 NW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 77400 106500
ADI Early 39 Fair 50 Gen Good 23 Fair 74 Good
ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 79 Good 14 Gen Poor 109 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 4
Max LVORI Late 6 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability D B D B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
74 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
76 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent. South winds
10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-101215-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
403 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 60 40 0
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
LAL 1 3 3 1
Min/Max Temp 67 84 54 76
Max/Min RH (%) 99 59 89 29
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 6 G17 W 4 W 5 N 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 6 N 6 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.25 0.25 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 69/0800 1900 57/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 5 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 7200
Transport Wind (mph) W 18 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 115200
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 48 Gen Good 26 Fair 78 Good
ADI Late 8 Poor 71 Good 12 Poor 119 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 4
Max LVORI Late 6 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...Brotak Profile Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-101215-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
403 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 50 40 0
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
LAL 1 2 3 1
Min/Max Temp 67 84 54 76
Max/Min RH (%) 99 59 86 29
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 9 G20 W 6 W 7 N 7
Wind20ft/Late (mph) W 7 SW 8 G17 N 8 NW 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.22 0.10 0.00
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 69/0800 1900 57/0600
Dispersion Good Fair
Haines Index 4 5 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 7200
Transport Wind (mph) W 16 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54400 115200
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 45 Gen Good 34 Fair 81 Good
ADI Late 12 Poor 61 Good 13 Gen Poor 123 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 4 4
Max LVORI Late 6 1 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D B D B
Remarks...Brotak Stack Present.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
77 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
75 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
39 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-101215-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
403 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 60 40 0
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
LAL 3 3 3 1
Min/Max Temp 66 84 54 76
Max/Min RH (%) 100 66 88 31
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G19 W 4 W 6 N 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 SW 7 NW 7 G17 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.20 0.18 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 70/0800 1900 58/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3000 7100
Transport Wind (mph) W 17 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51000 113600
ADI Early 28 Fair 45 Gen Good 40 Fair 73 Good
ADI Late 10 Poor 58 Gen Good 13 Gen Poor 119 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 4 4
Max LVORI Late 7 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-101215-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
403 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 50 40 0
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
LAL 3 2 3 1
Min/Max Temp 65 83 53 77
Max/Min RH (%) 100 64 88 30
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 7 G18 SW 5 W 6 N 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 5 W 7 N 6 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.22 0.12 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 68/0800 1900 57/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 5 4 5
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 7200
Transport Wind (mph) W 20 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66000 115200
ADI Early 34 Fair 46 Gen Good 52 Gen Good 76 Good
ADI Late 7 Poor 61 Good 12 Poor 121 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 5 8 4 4
Max LVORI Late 8 3 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
79 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
81 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
42 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Chance of showers
30 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-101215-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
403 PM EDT Thu May 9 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Chance (%) 0 40 30 0
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms None
LAL 1 2 2 1
Min/Max Temp 66 83 53 77
Max/Min RH (%) 100 61 86 29
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SW 8 G18 SW 5 NW 6 N 6
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 6 SW 7 N 7 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.17 0.07 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 AM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 68/0800 1900 56/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 4 5 4 4
DSI 2 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3600 7300
Transport Wind (mph) W 17 W 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61200 116800
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 42 Gen Good 43 Gen Good 81 Good
ADI Late 11 Poor 65 Good 12 Poor 124 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 4 4
Max LVORI Late 8 2 4 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability D B D B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
80 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH
78 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
41 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers
50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
upper 70s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 80s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman