Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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217
FNUS73 KLSX 221341
FWSLSX

Spot Forecast for Columbia Bottom Prairie Unit 2...Missouri Dept of Conservation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
841 AM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on March 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...
East wind and dry weather will prevail today. An approaching system
will bring a chance for thunderstorms around sunrise Thursday morning.
Southerly winds tomorrow will help increase relative humidity values
along with warmer temperatures. Thunderstorms will impact the burn
area Friday night through Saturday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........37 at ignition...Max 49.
RH..................59 percent at ignition...Min 26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 11 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    East winds 8 to 11 mph.
Eye level winds.....East around 4 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL at ignition, 3700 ft AGL at max heating.
Transport winds.....East around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (7490 m/s-m) at max heating.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
Sky (%).........35     51     65     71     72     68
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      10     0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............37     41     45     49     49     45
RH..............59     44     36     30     31     38
20 ft wind......E 11   E 11   E 10   E 10   E 9    E 7
20 ft wind gust.15     20     15     15     15     10

$$
Forecaster...Tilly
Requested by...Andy Tappmeyer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704902.0/LSX



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