Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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FNUS73 KLSX 251202
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PRAIRIE RIDGE SNA  MARION COUNTY...IDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO
702 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW MOVING FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS
TODAY.  THIS FRONT WILL BRING THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  AHEAD OF THE FRONT...LIGHT
SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITH WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1700...THEN 1-8 STRIKES.
TEMPERATURE.........83 AT IGNITION...MAX 89.
RH..................72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 3 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...THEN SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400FT AGL AT IGNITION...
                    2800FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (9269 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...BRITT
REQUESTED BY...BOB GILLESPIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160825.PRAIR.01/LSX



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