Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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000
FNUS73 KLSX 261652
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILOAM UNIT 7...IDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1152 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 CDT ON MARCH 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CLEARING SKIES WILL SPREAD FROM THE NORTHWEST AS THE STORM
SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA
YESTERDAY MOVES FARTHER INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH WIND LIGHTENING UP THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 48.
RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST WINDS 5-7 MPH LIGHTENING UP THROUGH THE
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON TO 3-5 MPH. EYE LEVEL
                    WINDS WERE CALCULATED WITH AN ADJUSTMENT FACTOR
                    OF 0.4 FOR PARTIALLY SHELTERED HARDWOOD
                    LITTER (FUEL MODEL 9).
WIND...20 FT........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST WIND 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AT IGNITION...4300 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (10338 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29.
RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT.
WIND...20 FT........NORTH WIND 5 TO 7 MPH BECOMING LIGHT LATE.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 43.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTH WIND 3-4 MPH...ADJUSTMENT FACTOR .3
WIND...20 FT........NORTH WIND 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

$$

FORECASTER...WFO LSX
REQUESTED BY...GEROFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150326.SILOA.01/LSX







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