Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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647
FNUS73 KLSX 011457
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARCOOT PREBURN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
857 AM CST MON FEB 1 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON FEBRUARY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WIND WILL TURN TO THE EAST TODAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
SKIRTS ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.  A STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI ON TUESDAY.
RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ACROSS OUR AREA AHEAD
OF THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS STORM.  ADDITIONALLY...
STRONG SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WIND IS EXPECTED...POSSIBLY WITH WIND GUSTS
IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH.  THE REST OF THE WEEK LOOKS DRY AND COOLER
WITH MORE SEASONABLE HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOW AND MID
40S.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS EAST AROUND 2 MPH USING A 0.3 ADJUSTMENT
                    FACTOR.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...2800 FT AGL AT
                    MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4792 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GLASS
REQUESTED BY...TIM BRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160201.MARCO.01/LSX



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