Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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000
FNUS73 KLSX 221324
FWSLSX

Spot Forecast for Hughes Mountain Burn Unit 1...Missouri Department of Conservation
National Weather Service Saint Louis MO
824 AM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on March 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...
East wind and dry weather will prevail today. An approaching system
will bring a slight chance for thunderstorms to the area late tonight
into Thursday morning. Southerly winds tomorrow will help increase
relative humidity values along with warmer temperatures. Thunderstorms
will impact the burn area Friday night through Saturday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Temperature.........44 at ignition...Max 53.
RH..................49 percent at ignition...Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 9 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    East winds 7 to 9 mph.
Eye level winds.....East around 4 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL at ignition, 3400 ft AGL at max heating.
Transport winds.....East around 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (6410 m/s-m) at max heating.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
Sky (%).........56     54     51     54     69     68
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     10     10     10     0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............44     49     52     52     47     42
RH..............49     40     33     32     38     48
20 ft wind......E 9    E 8    E 8    E 7    E 6    E 6
20 ft wind gust.15     15     15     15     10     10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Temperature.........Min 37.
RH..................Max 68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 7 mph.
Eye level winds.....Southeast around 3 mph.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Temperature.........Max 64.
RH..................Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Eye level winds.....South around 4 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Tilly
Requested by...David Shieh
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704891.0/LSX



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