Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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000
FNUS73 KLSX 211459
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COOKS CAVE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
859 AM CST WED JAN 21 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE REGION IS BETWEEN TWO STORM SYSTEMS TODAY. ONE SYSTEM IS CROSSING THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SOME MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS WHILE A CLIPPER PRODUCES SNOW ACROSS MINNESOTA,
IOWA, WISCONSIN AND ILLINOIS. THE LATTER OF THE TWO STORMS WILL PUSH AN AREA
OF STRATUS SOUTH TO NEAR THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
FORECAST INDICATES CONDITIONS THAT ASSUME THE CLOUDS WILL STAY NORTH OF THE
BURN SITE. IF THEY DROP FAR ENOUGH TO SOUTH TO IMPACT THE BURN SITE, THEN
MANY OF THE FIRE WEATHER PARAMETERS COULD BE ADVERSELY AFFECTED. SUNDAY
SHOULD BE THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION BUT THAT APPEARS TO LIMITED AT
THIS TIME.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT REQUEST...MAX 50.
RH..................62 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST AROUND 2 TO 3 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WEST AROUND 7 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST
                    5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1500 FT AT IGNITION...4000 FT AGL AT MAX
                    HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 21 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (11233 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST AROUND 2 TO 3 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
WIND...20 FT........NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 43.
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING NORTH AROUND 2 TO 3 MPH
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON.
WIND...20 FT........LIGHT AND VARIABLE BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH DURING
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 8 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (3362 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...MILLER
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG GILBERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150121.COOKS.01/LSX




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