Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS73 KLSX 101258
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST CREEK 2...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
758 AM CDT THU APR 10 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY ACCOMPANIED BY A
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL ALSO OCCUR IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT THIS
MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE SHOULD BE
BETWEEN 200 AND 400 PM WITH THE WIND SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST.
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDINESS THIS MORNING THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST 4 MPH AT IGNITION SHIFTING TO THE
                    THE NORTHWEST...USING A 0.3 ADJUSTMENT FACTOR.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 11 MPH BETWEEN 200-400 PM.
                    GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...5300 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (21571 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GLASS
REQUESTED BY...JEFF BAKAMEYER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140410.LOSTC.01/LSX





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.