Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 272134
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for PCS Scottside/fletcher...USFS
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
434 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (800) 482-8471 and ask for the fire
weather forecaster if you have any questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions will continue across the state as surface high
pressure remains meadering across the region. Surface winds are
expected to be light and variable across the state. Thursday
morning will see areas of frost across much of the state.

.THURSDAY...

Max temperature.....51 at ignition...Max 67.
Min humidity........59 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 8 mph.
Stability class.....3.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Dispersion..........22.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....64.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 7587 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 6600 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............51  55  59  61  63  65  67  66
RH..............59  53  47  42  41  38  36  38
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   5   5   5   6   7
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   6   7   8   8   10
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Min temperature.....Min 48.
Max humidity........Max 74 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Stability class.....6.
LVORI...............3.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........23 decreasing to 10 in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....MISSING.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 6803 ft MSL.
Category Day........3.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 5800 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............65  62  58  56  54  53  52  51  51  50  50  50
RH..............41  50  59  62  64  66  69  68  66  68  66  66
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   6   7   7   7   8   8   9   10  12  12
20 FT wind gust.10  10  8   10  11  10  11  11  13  14  16  17
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.FRIDAY...

Max temperature.....Max 73.
Min humidity........Min 40 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 22 mph shifting to the southwest 25
                    to 29 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Stability class.....4.
LVORI...............3 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Dispersion..........16 increasing to 76.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
1700 Ft Mix Temp....70.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5660 ft MSL.
Category Day........5.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4700 ft AGL.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............49  48  53  56  60  63  67  70  71  71  73  71
RH..............71  74  66  66  62  56  49  44  42  42  40  42
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..12  12  14  15  16  16  16  16  16  16  17  16
20 FT wind gust.17  18  20  22  25  25  24  24  25  26  26  26
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.14  15  18  22  25  26  28  28  29  29  28  25
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...44
Requested by...Eric Stuart
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408648.0/LZK
.DELDT 03/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Eric.stuart@usda.gov


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