Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 281030
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick CPT 418...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
530 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 85 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected today and Friday. Afternoon
relative humidity values drop to 20-25 percent over the burn area both
this afternoon and Friday afternoon. Transport winds will be mostly
northerly today and tonight and then turn more southerly on Friday.
Dispersion index values will be good both today and Friday.

Fog potential and other remarks...No fog is not expected tonight or
early Friday morning. No impactful windshift is expected today or
tonight, generally northerly flow through that period, but shifting
more southerly on Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...213-1768 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 6 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....16 increasing to 86.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........0      1      1      1      0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............46     57     65     68     71
RH..............58     42     30     25     23
20 FT wind dir..N      N      N      N      N
20 FT wind spd..7      10     10     9      8
20 FT wind gust.12     16     15     14     13
Mix hgt (ft)....700    1900   3300   5200   5800
Mix hgt (m).....210    580    1010   1580   1770
Transp wind dir.NNE    NNE    N      N      N
Transp wind spd.15     18     17     15     14
Trans wind dir..NNE    NNE    N      N      N
Trans spd (m/s).7      8      8      7      6
Dispersion idx..16     43     69     87     85
LVORI...........2      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-1768 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 12 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 5 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.North around 5 meters/second shifting to the
                    northeast around 2 meters/second after 3 am.
Dispersion index....85 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........0      0      0      0      0      0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............69     58     53     49     45     43
RH..............26     44     57     66     73     76
20 FT wind dir..N      N      N      NNE    NE     ENE
20 FT wind spd..6      5      3      2      2      2
20 FT wind gust.9      7      6      3             3
Mix hgt (ft)....5800   400    400    400    400    400
Mix hgt (m).....1770   120    120    120    120    120
Transp wind dir.N      N      N      NNE    NE     ENE
Transp wind spd.12     8      8      5      5      5
Trans wind dir..N      N      N      NNE    NE     ENE
Trans spd (m/s).5      4      4      2      2      2
Dispersion idx..85     4      3      2      2      2
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      4      4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1768 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 8 mph shifting to the south 7 to 12
                    mph late in the morning.
Transport winds m/s.East around 2 meters/second shifting to the
                    south 3 to 5 meters/second late in the morning.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 72.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........0      0      0      0      1      4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............41     45     62     69     74     74
RH..............73     62     39     30     23     23
20 FT wind dir..E      E      SE     S      S      S
20 FT wind spd..2      2      3      5      6      7
20 FT wind gust.3      5      6      9      10     12
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    1700   4300   5500   5800
Mix hgt (m).....120    120    520    1310   1680   1770
Transp wind dir.E      ESE    SE     S      SSW    SSW
Transp wind spd.5      5      8      7      8      12
Trans wind dir..E      ESE    SE     S      SSW    SSW
Trans spd (m/s).2      2      4      3      4      5
Dispersion idx..2      5      16     39     54     72
LVORI...........3      3      2      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...12
Requested by...Ryan Barnett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2408674.0/MOB
.DELDT 03/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.barnett@usda.gov


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