Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN
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FNUS73 KMPX 081321
FWSMPX
Spot Forecast for Dablow WMA...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
821 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on May 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...For Dablow WMA, relative humidity values will fall
to 30-40% this afternoon with temperatures warming into the lower
70s. Winds will remain calm through 9AM, with east-northeasterly
winds gradually increasing to around 10 mph through the morning. A
few gusts up to 20 mph are possible during the afternoon. About a
30% chance of a shower or thunderstorm also exists this
afternoon into early this evening.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms late in the
afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
late in the afternoon.
Temperature.........65 at ignition...Max 71.
RH..................47 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 13 mph at ignition...otherwise
East winds 12 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /63900 knot-ft/ at ignition.
Max...excellent /134800 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7900 ft
AGL.
Transport winds.....East 18 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P
Sky cover.......PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Temp............65 67 68 69 71 71 69 66 63 60 58 56
RH..............47 43 40 37 36 38 44 50 56 62 67 72
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..13 13 14 14 14 14 12 10 9 7 7 8
20 FT wind gust.20 20 21 21 21 21 17 16 14 10 10 12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 4.7 5.5 6.5 7.9 4.1 3.5 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E NE NE
Transp wind spd.20 20 21 21 20 18 18 16 13 10 12 15
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
then slight chance of thunderstorms late in the
evening. Slight chance of rain showers late in
the evening.
Temperature.........Min 45.
RH..................Max 81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 12 mph shifting to the
northeast 7 to 9 mph in the late evening and
overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (59300 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (4000 knot-ft) late in the
night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Temperature.........Max 66.
RH..................Min 38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 9 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6700 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (72000 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
$$
Forecaster...Grunzke
Requested by...Matt Mecklenburg
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413477.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL matt.mecklenburg@state.mn.us