Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
070
FNUS73 KOAX 081321
FWSOAX
Spot Forecast for Savery Pond Rx Fire...Monona County Conservation Board
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
821 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Skies will be partly to mostly cloudy today with isolated showers
and thunderstorms in the area. High temperatures will be in the
low 70s with lowest relative humidity values of 40-45 percent.
Light southwest winds this morning will switch to north or
northwest at 5 to 10 mph this afternoon.
Strongest Possible Wind Speeds on Day of Burn: 15 mph
Lowest Possible Relative Humidity on Day of Burn: 40 percent
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
showers late in the morning. Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the
afternoon, then chance of showers and
thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
around 4 mph late in the afternoon, then
shifting to the northwest late in the
afternoon.
Surface winds (mph).South winds around 9 mph shifting to the east
around 8 mph late in the afternoon, then
shifting to the northwest late in the
afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 8 mph shifting to the east
around 7 mph late in the afternoon, then
shifting to the west late in the afternoon.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (25200 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (55700 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84 70 94 72 56 61 63
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Temp............65 67 68 70 70 70 69
RH..............58 52 47 47 45 45 47
20 FT wind dir..S S S S E W NW
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 7 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 12 10 10 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.S S S S E W NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.5 5 5 5 4 4 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.9 9 9 9 8 8 8
Surface wnd dir.S S S S E W NW
Surface wnd spd.9 9 9 9 8 8 8
Surface wnd gst.15 15 15 15 13 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 3.6 4.6 4.8 6.5 6.2 3.8
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.12 13 13 10 9 9 8
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....6 6 5 5 5 5 5
SDspl kt-ft/100025 40 51 56 55 50 38
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
then slight chance of rain showers late in the
evening. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms early in the morning.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds up to 5 mph shifting to the
northwest around 4 mph in the late evening and
overnight.
Surface winds (mph).North winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the
northwest 6 to 8 mph in the late evening and
overnight, then shifting to the around 8 mph
early in the morning.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the
north 5 to 7 mph in the late evening and
overnight, then shifting to the northwest
around 7 mph early in the morning. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 10 mph shifting to the north 9
to 13 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (23400 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (4400 knot-ft) late in the
night.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........56 47 35 37 44 54
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE
Temp............68 62 56 52 50 49
RH..............49 62 74 89 93 93
20 ft wind......NW 6 N 6 N 6 N 6 N 6 NW 5
20 ft wind gust.10 6
Eye level wind..NW 4 N 4 N 4 N 4 N 4 NW 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.8 5 5
Surface wind....NW 8 N 8 N 8 N 8 N 8 NW 6
Surface wnd gst.13 7
Mix hgt (ft)....3500 500 500 400 500 600
Transport wind..NW 8 N 10 N 12 N 12 N 12 N 10
GFDI............0 0 0 0 0 0
Haines index....5 5 5 5 4 4
SDspl kt-ft/100023 6 5 5 6 5
$$
Forecaster...Mead
Requested by...Kaleb Kaster
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413476.0/OAX
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mccbranger@mononacounty.org